General Election Wash-Up

Prior to the general election we made a number of posts touching on the relationship between religion and politics/voting. Now that the results are in, we can report a few more snippets of information which touch on this theme.

On 10 May the Westminster 2010 Declaration of Christian Conscience, which has attracted almost 65,000 signatures (and about double that number of visitors to its website), issued a press release claiming that the general election had resulted in a House of Commons which was ‘better balanced on Christian conscience issues’. The release can be found at:

http://www.westminster2010.org.uk/news/election-results-in-more-mps-supportive-of-christian-conscience—mond/

Of the 491 MPs who were standing for re-election, 32% had been categorized by Westminster 2010 as being supportive of Christian conscience issues, in terms of their Parliamentary voting record. 412 of them were re-elected, of whom 36% had pro-Christian voting records. ‘So overall we lost 63 MPs with poor voting records but only 10 MPs with good voting records.’

The 237 new MPs were assessed in the light of their public statements, email correspondence and their willingness to make the Westminster 2010 pledge to ‘respect, uphold and protect the right of Christians to hold and express Christian beliefs and act according to Christian conscience’. On this basis 70 (30%) were judged to be supportive.

Overall, Westminster 2010 claims that 34% of the 2010 intake of MPs are supportive of Christian conscience issues, 37% are unsupportive and the views of the remaining 29% are unclear or unknown.

Westminster 2010 made light of the poor showing of the Christian Party, which polled fewer than 18,000 votes in total for its candidates. Rather it highlighted the successes of Christians standing for the main political parties, including the evangelical Nicola Blackwood who unseated the secularist Evan Harris in Oxford West and Abingdon.

Meanwhile, The Muslim News for 7 May reported that the number of Muslim MPs had doubled from four (in the 2005 Parliament) to eight, equivalent to 1.2% of all seats, less than half the proportion of Muslims in the population at the 2001 census (2.8%). The eight comprise six Labour MPs (three of them women) and two Conservatives. More than 90 Muslim candidates stood for election in all. The Muslim News has subsequently published tables of the performance of all Muslim candidates at:

http://www.muslimnews.co.uk/paper/index.php?article=4647

The number of Jewish MPs elected was 21, according to The Jewish Chronicle for 14 May. They represent 3.2% of the new House of Commons, more than six times the proportion of Jews in the country in 2001. The new MPs comprise 12 Conservatives, 7 Labour and 2 Liberal Democrats. The most famous unsuccessful Jewish candidate was Andrew Dismore, who lost his seat in Hendon to the Conservatives by just 106 votes. The Muslim Public Affairs Committee has claimed it campaigned for his downfall.

The Catholic Herald for 14 May stated that the number of Roman Catholic MPs had risen from 64 to 68 (17 of them newly elected), despite prominent figures such as Ruth Kelly and Ann Widdecombe stepping down. This is 10.5% of the new House of Commons, a similar figure to the number of Catholics in the adult population as measured by opinion polls. The 68 comprise 40 Labour MPs, 19 Conservatives, 5 Liberal Democrats, 3 Northern Ireland SDLP and 1 Scottish Nationalist. The pro-Labour bias of Catholics was demonstrated in Ipsos MORI data in the run-up to the general election, as featured by BRIN on its website on 4 May.

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Saliency of Political Issues

We have already noted one headline finding from the online Cpanel survey of 422 practising Christians conducted by ComRes for Premier Christian Radio between 30 March and 12 April 2010 (‘Christians and the general election’, 19 April).

Hot off the press, ComRes has now released the full findings, running to 84 pages of data tables, for this poll. They cover the attitudes of Christians to political issues, political party leaders and the prospects of a hung Parliament following the general election.

The tables will be found at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/premierchristiansapril2010.aspx

Space does not permit a complete analysis of the results, but it is useful to highlight here the saliency of particular political issues among practising Christians and the electorate as a whole (the latter data are taken from an Ipsos MORI poll of 1,503 adult Britons aged 18 and over interviewed by telephone on 19-22 March 2010).

The percentages of each of these two groups saying that a specific political issue was likely to be very important to them in helping to decide which party to vote for at the forthcoming general election were as follows:

  CHRISTIANS ELECTORATE
Economy

64

32

Families

63

Not asked

Healthcare

53

26

Education

52

23

Crime

42

8

Immigration

34

14

Environment

31

5

Taxes

27

12

Third world/international issues

27

Not asked

Climate change

19

Not asked

Transport

17

3

What is interesting from the above table is that, while the economy, healthcare and education are key priorities for both groups, practising Christians appear to be much more exercised about every issue than do electors in general.

When asked a different question, to choose from a list of issues which is the most important one facing Britain today, practising Christians gave the following answers: economy (42%), family and societal breakdown (13%), secularism (11%), immigration (7%), moral disintegration (7%), faults in the political system (5%), crime (3%), unemployment (2%) and religious freedom (2%).

The poll thus suggests that politicians courting votes would be well-advised to remember that practising Christians appear to be informed and concerned voters, often with specific political preoccupations.

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Christians and the General Election

Nick Clegg and the Liberal Democrats may currently be riding on the crest of a wave following last Thursday’s televised leadership debate, but he appears to have a lot of ground to make up with practising Christians in the UK.

That at least is the conclusion suggested by an online Cpanel survey of 423 of them undertaken by ComRes on behalf of Premier Christian Media between 30 March and 12 April 2010.

This sample of Christians (weighted denominationally according to the 2005 English church census) was asked who would make the best prime minister. 37% said David Cameron of the Conservatives, with 20% favouring Labour’s Gordon Brown, 6% Nick Clegg and 3% minor party leaders.

However, 22% of Christians remain undecided about who would be best to lead the country and a further 12% profess no faith in any of the potential leaders. With 17 days of campaigning to go before the general election, it certainly seems to make sense for politicians to court the Christian vote.

Premier’s press announcement about the poll appears at:

http://www.inspiremagazine.org.uk/news.aspx?action=view&id=4404

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