Religiously Aggravated Offending in Scotland, 2010-11

The Justice Committee of the Scottish Parliament is meeting next Tuesday to consider Stage 2 amendments to the (relatively controversial) Offensive Behaviour at Football and Threatening Communications (Scotland) Bill, nicknamed the ‘Football Act’, which will give Scottish police more powers to clamp down on football-related and other forms of sectarianism.

Coincidentally (or, there again, perhaps not), the Scottish Government published last Friday (18 November 2011) a report on Religiously Aggravated Offending in Scotland, 2010-11 by Ben Cavanagh and Angela Morgan (Scottish Government Social Research, ISBN 978-1-78045-515-0). This can be downloaded from:

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/362943/0122956.pdf

The document provides a much fuller analysis of the 693 charges with a religious aggravation in Scotland in 2010-11, as defined by Section 74 of the Criminal Justice (Scotland) Act 2003, than was given in an earlier, more generic report on Scottish hate crime for that year, which was covered by BRIN at:

http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=1245

Headline findings from the new report include the following:

  • The number of charges with a religious aggravation in 2010-11 was 10% greater than in 2009-10 and the highest since 2006-07 (696)
  • 95% of the charges related to men
  • 93% of the accused were under 50, including 58% aged 16-30
  • Although charges with a religious aggravation occurred in 27 of Scotland’s 32 local authority areas, the majority of incidents took place in the west of the country, including 79% in the Strathclyde police force area and, within that, 51% in Glasgow city
  • 21% of offences were located in a main street, 19% in a police car/station, 13% on public transport, 13% in a football stadium, 12% in a residential area, 19% in a domestic dwelling, 5% in a pub or club, 2% in a hospital, and 7% elsewhere
  • 33% of charges were linked to football but only 5% to marches or parades
  • 58% of charges targeted Roman Catholicism, 37% Protestantism, 2% Judaism, and 2% Islam
  • 42% of victims were actually police officers, 33% members of the community, 23% members of the public, and 11% workers – the boundaries between these groups are somewhat ill-defined
  • 61% of charges were alcohol-related and 6% drugs-related
  • In 73% of cases the main charge to which a religious aggravation was added was for breach of the peace, in 14% for threatening or abusive behaviour, and in 6% for assault
  • Of the 693 charges, court proceedings were initiated for 587, with 85% of cases concluded so far resulting in convictions (albeit only a minority in a custodial sentence)

The report may be compared with an earlier analysis of data for the period January 2004 to June 2005 in Kathleen Doyle, Use of Section 74 of the Criminal Justice (Scotland) Act 2003 – Religiously Aggravated Reported Crime: an 18 Month Review (2006), which is still available at:

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/Doc/155706/0041794.pdf

For a recent public opinion poll in Scotland on attitudes to sectarianism, conducted by TNS-BMRB in July and August 2011, see:

http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=1421

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GRAS is Greener – Furlong Table, 2010

‘The Church of England is a third of the way to gender equality’, according to the third edition of the Furlong Table of women clergy recently issued by GRAS (Group for Rescinding the Act of Synod). Named in honour of the late Monica Furlong, the table is available at:

http://www.gras.org.uk/furlong_table.htm

The table uses official Anglican statistics for 2010 to calculate a gender equality score for each of the 43 dioceses (excluding Europe). The figure is a composite of the proportion of women in senior clerical posts and of women as other full-time stipendiary clergy. A perfect score would be 100, representing 50% of senior clergy and 50% of other clergy being female.

In 2000, the first time the data were analysed, the overall score for the Church of England was 18.6. This had risen to 25.8 in 2005. By 2010 it was 34.9, thereby having almost doubled in the preceding decade.

The top-scoring diocese in 2010 was St Edmundsbury and Ipswich, with 60.7, a leap from 27.5 in 2005. Two other dioceses also crossed the half-way point, Canterbury on 53.5 and Ripon and Leeds on 53.2. Twelve other dioceses achieved scores in the 40s.

Bottom of the list in 2010, and also in 2000 and 2005, were the dioceses of Chichester (11.2 in 2010), Blackburn (11.0) and Sodor and Man (0.0). Eighteen other dioceses fell below the national average, with Chester on the average.

The most improved diocese was Winchester, whose score rose from 13.5 in 2005 to 31.8 in 2010, moving it from 40th to 28th position in the table. Oxford, 1st in 2005, fell back to 7th in 2010, while St Albans dropped from 2nd to 16th and Ely from 3rd to 19th.  

The statistics have been published as diocesan synods completed their consideration of the draft legislation on women bishops. It was approved in 42 of 44 dioceses, with only London and Chichester against.

According to a press release from WATCH (Women and the Church) on 15 November, 85% of bishops in synod voted for the draft legislation, 76% of clergy members, and 77% of lay members. The press release is at:

http://womenandthechurch.org/press_releases/WATCH%20Press%20Release%2015112011.doc

The final decision on women bishops is expected to be taken at General Synod in July 2012.

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Religion in Western Europe and the USA

The latest report from the Pew Global Attitudes Project, on the values gap between America and Western Europe (including on three religious indicators), was published today, with the general headline of ‘American exceptionalism subsides’ (although this was less applicable to religion than other domains). The document can be found at:

http://www.pewglobal.org/files/2011/11/Pew-Global-Attitudes-Values-Report-FINAL-November-17-2011-10AM-EST.pdf

Today’s reported data cover only the USA, Britain, France, Germany and Spain but form part of the Spring 2011 Pew Global Attitudes Survey, carried out among 23 publics worldwide. In Britain 1,000 adults aged 18 and over were interviewed by telephone between 22 March and 13 April 2011.

Asked how important religion was in their life, 17% of Britons replied very important and 21% somewhat important. The combined figure of 38% was 24 points lower than in 2006 and about half the US total of 77% in 2011 (with Germany on 52%, Spain on 49%, and France on 36%). 21% of Britons said that religion was not too important to them and two-fifths not at all important (up from around one-third in most previous years).

78% of Britons denied that it was necessary to believe in God to be moral and have good values. This was a rise from 73% in 2002 and 75% in 2007. Only 20% said that such belief was integral to morality, somewhat more than in France (15%) and Spain (19%), but fewer than in Germany (33%) and the USA (53%, outnumbering the deniers there by 7%).

Of professing Christians, 21% in Britain considered themselves first and foremost as Christians and 63% as British citizens (24% and 59% respectively in 2006), with 10% saying both equally. This was a similar pattern to Germany and Spain but contrasted markedly with the USA where identical proportions (46%) regarded themselves as primarily Christians or primarily Americans.

Other results from the Spring 2011 Pew Global Attitudes Survey, concerning attitudes to Muslims, have already been noted by BRIN. See: http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=1352

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Unlucky 13 Hits the Property Market

One manifestation of the persistence of superstition in Britain is the still widespread belief among adults that certain numbers can be associated with good or bad luck.

In particular, the number 13 is considered to be unlucky by about one adult in seven today, according to opinion polls. And it was the most widely-held superstition as far back as 1946 when Gallup first investigated the subject.

Proof that such beliefs can directly influence people’s behaviour, and even have an economic impact, is increasingly to be found in the property market. The website FindaProperty.com has recently added to this body of evidence by arranging to crunch the past ten years’ worth of Land Registry data.

This analysis revealed that properties with number 13 addresses sold for £6,511 (or 4%) less than those numbered between 1 and 12 and 14 to 30.

Moreover, there were 34% fewer properties sold with a number 13 address in the last decade, compared with those with the other numbers. Either they never came on to the market or superstitious buyers were deterred from purchasing them.

These figures, however, could be slightly distorted since 28% of streets do not actually have a number 13. Some local authorities have banned them altogether, while in other places developers have decided against numbering a house as 13 for fear that it may be slow to sell.

And it is not just address numbers people are superstitious about when it comes to property-buying. Some 32% fewer homes are apparently sold on the 13th day of each month against the monthly average.

Moving house on the 13th day is clearly taboo for many, not least when it falls on a Friday, despite the fact that Friday ordinarily tends to be the most popular day of the week for moving.

In a 2005 survey from Lloyds TSB 35% of Britons said that they would not risk moving house on Friday the 13th. And one removal company reported in 2008 that its bookings were 14% down on a Friday the 13th that year compared with the same day in 2007.

The same Lloyds TSB study also found that: 50% of people would not buy a house overlooking a cemetery; 39% did not like the thought of someone having died in their home; and 35% would not buy a house where something serious (such as a fire) had occurred, believing that bad luck could linger.

Those selling their homes were just as beholden to superstition in this 2005 poll, with 45% saying that they would keep quiet about a broken mirror for fear of scaring off buyers with the seven-year jinx; 37% would not open an umbrella indoors; and 34% would not put new shoes on a table.

When it came to warding off ghouls, ghosts and bad vibes, 29% of these sellers said that they would have their house blessed; 20% trusted in the ancient art of feng shui; and 16% thought they might elect for exorcism of the property.

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Clergy Experience of Appointments

Interviews for clergy appointments often last for less than one hour, end up as one-way questioning, lack clarity, and assume a rather secular air, according to a survey recently released by 3D Coaching, which provides coaching and organizational development services to the charity sector, including churches. 

The research was undertaken during the summer of 2011 among clergy of all denominations who had been interviewed for the role of minister, mostly in a local church, during the last three years. There were 139 respondents, of whom 131 were from the Church of England. The sample recruitment method is unknown.

Key statistical findings include the following:  

  • 51% of interviews lasted under one hour, 37% between one and two hours, and 12% longer than two hours 
  • 54% of applicants described the interview as a two-way dialogue, but for 46% it felt more like one-way questioning 
  • 18% did not consider the line of questioning to be clear, while for 57% it was clear and for 25% very clear 
  • 62% recalled that the interview mostly concentrated on their competencies, against 7% who said that it mainly explored their ministerial calling, and 20% the ‘chemistry’ which would have made for a successful ‘marriage’ with the post 
  • In the light of hindsight, only 9% considered that the person and parish/church profile for the role had fully mirrored reality, most (55%) thinking it was at best a 75% reflection of the truth; on the other hand, 13% regarded it as a 25% match or less

Notwithstanding these deficiencies in the selection process, 79% of clergy applicants believed that the interviewers had met the real ‘them’ and 91% that the right person had been appointed eventually, even though only 71% of them were actually successful.

A 24-page report on the survey, containing extensive qualitative data as well as the numbers, is freely available at:

http://www.3dcoaching.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/How-to-Make-Great-Appointments-Survey-Results.pdf

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Demand for Civil Partnerships on Religious Premises

Government is pressing ahead with its plans, announced on 17 February 2011, to remove the legal barrier to civil partnerships being registered on religious premises. The ban stems from the Civil Partnership Act 2004 and the Approved Premises (Marriage and Civil Partnership) Regulations 2005.

The change would be made by commencing, through Regulations, Section 202 of the Equality Act 2010. This would enable those religious organizations that wish to do so to apply to the relevant local authority to host civil partnership registrations in their premises.

The legislation is framed as permissive. That is to say, its implementation would be on an entirely voluntary and opt in basis, also providing for consent to be obtained from faith bodies before an individual place of worship could apply to the local authority.

The latest development in the process came on 2 November 2011, when the Government Equalities Office published Summary of Responses: Civil Partnerships on Religious Premises – a Consultation (incorporating draft Regulations). It is available to download at:

http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/publications/equalities/lgbt-equality-publications/civilpartnership-response?view=Binary

The public consultation on the Government’s proposals ran from 31 March to 23 June 2011. It attracted 1,617 responses of which 343 were on the official pro forma (145 from organizations and 198 from individuals) and 1,274 were by email or letter.

Annex 2 of the summary of the consultation (pp. 38-62) comprises an Impact Assessment, now mandatory before any new piece of legislation can be considered. At pp. 45-6 and 55-6 there is an interesting but not entirely convincing discussion of the potential demand for civil partnerships in religious premises.

This analysis makes clear that fewer than 5% of places of worship in England and Wales are potentially likely to opt into the new arrangements, among which those of the Society of Friends (Quakers) and Unitarians would be prominent. Major denominations such as the Anglicans and Catholics have indicated that they will not opt in.

In practice, the total number of premises that may wish to apply to be approved would be further limited to those where there is sufficient demand in the congregation from couples wanting to have their civil partnership registered in religious premises.

Government’s forecast is that between 25 and 532 premises would opt in and be licensed to host a civil partnership registration in any given year, the mid-point value being 280. The last figure would be equivalent to less than 1% of all places of worship in England and Wales.

The Government further predicts that the number of couples that would actually be able to hold a civil partnership registration in religious premises would range from 76 to 1,595, with a mid-point value of 835 per annum. This compares with 66,800 religious marriage ceremonies in England and Wales in 2008 (excluding Roman Catholic).

As we noted on 21 February last – http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=889 – public opinion is divided about the Government’s plans to permit civil partnerships to be registered in religious premises.

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Faith in the Financial Services Sector

The Archbishop of Canterbury may have intervened in the controversy surrounding the Occupy London protest, as noted in our post at http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=1477, but financial services professionals emphatically reject the Church’s role in high finance.

This is the very clear message from an online survey of 515 finance professionals in the City of London conducted by ComRes between 30 August and 12 September 2011, on behalf of the St Paul’s Institute at St Paul’s Cathedral. 88% of respondents were aged 25-54 and 65% were men.

The research is summarized by Rita Duarte of ComRes on pp. 8-19 of Value and Values: Perceptions of Ethics in the City Today, a report and reflections from the St Paul’s Institute published on 7 November. This can be downloaded from:

http://www.stpaulsinstitute.org.uk/Reports

Additionally, ComRes has released the full data tables from the study, with breaks by gender, age, and length of working in the financial services sector. These can be found at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/St_Pauls_results_Sep11.pdf

Asked whether the City of London needed to listen more to the guidance of the Church, only 12% agreed, 76% disagreed, with 12% uncertain. Men (79%) were more likely to disagree than women (70%), with dissent reaching 80% among those who had worked longest in the sector (for fifteen years or more).

Nor can such attitudes be entirely attributed to an absence of faith. Belief in God ran at 41% and at virtually one-half for the over-55s and those who had been in the sector for fewer than five years. 38% disbelieved, but one in two of them said that they believed in a higher power or were a spiritual person. 21% did not know what to think about God.

16% of financial services professionals claimed to attend religious worship at least once a month, 37% less frequently, and 47% never. Total non-attendance peaked at 54% for the 25-34 cohort and 60% for those who had worked in the sector from six to ten years.

More generally, the poll discovered that: ‘professionals in the financial services sector believe that City bond traders, FTSE chief executives and stock brokers are paid too much, teachers are paid too little and that there is too great a gap between rich and poor in the UK.’

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Occupy London, Act II – Enter the Archbishop

Occupy London’s anti-capitalist campsite outside St Paul’s Cathedral has now been there for three weeks and seems dug in for the long haul. The Dean and Chapter and the wider leadership of the Church of England have been increasingly challenged by its presence, not simply in terms of how to respond to it as a physical ‘neighbour’ but what line to take about the morality of capitalism and the world of high finance.

The Archbishop of Canterbury, Rowan Williams, finally entered the fray early last week in a statement on the resignation of the Dean of St Paul’s, an article in the Financial Times, and an interview with BBC News. In these utterances he stressed the importance of addressing the urgent issues raised by the protesters, put forward some solutions of his own for doing so (notably the Tobin Tax), and conceded that the Church had failed ‘to square the circle of public interest and public protest’ in dealing with Occupy London.

How has the public reacted to the Archbishop’s belated intervention? In an attempt to answer this question, YouGov covered the Occupy London movement in its poll for today’s issue of The Sunday Times. A representative sample of 1,561 British adults aged 18 and over was interviewed online on 3 and 4 November 2011, and the results have been posted at:

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/2011-11-04/YG-Archives-Pol-Sun-results-041111.pdf

Asked to rate how Williams had dealt with the Occupy London campsite and subsequent events at the Cathedral, 41% said that he had handled the matter badly, 26% well, with 33% expressing no opinion (rising to 57% of the 18-24s). The groups most critical of the Archbishop were Conservative voters (54%), men (48%), and the over-60s (53%).

It is hard to interpret these findings, since the question was rather unspecific, gave no context about Williams’s views or actions, and thus will have been answered from diverse perspectives. In particular, was he being criticized by interviewees for the fact that he had intervened at all or because he had sat on the fence for so long before declaring his hand or a combination of both reasons?

Some clues may be implicit in replies to the next question about whether, regardless of this instance, senior clergy should comment on political matters. 45% said that it was wrong for them to do so, including 56% of Conservatives and 52% of over-60s. 38% accepted that the Church had a contribution to make to political debates, increasing to 45% among Labourites and Liberal Democrats and 44% of Londoners and Scots. 16% did not know what to think.

44% wanted the Cathedral and the Corporation of London to take legal action to remove the campsite from outside St Paul’s, 3% less than the figure in YouGov’s poll of 27-28 October, since when the threat of legal action has (in fact) been temporarily lifted. Conservatives (67%), men (51%), and the over-60s (53%) especially favoured invoking the law. 38% opposed legal action, with 18% undecided.

Support for Occupy London’s protest outside St Paul’s was only 20%, well down on the 39% who had endorsed the aims of the protesters in a somewhat different question the week before. 26% had then opposed the movement, whereas in the current poll 46% were hostile to it, particularly Conservatives (75%) and the over-60s (60%). But one-third expressed no views.

It is probably the case that the public is tiring of such physical occupations, on account of their disruptive effects on everyday life and what Williams has described as the dramatic ‘cataract of unintended consequences’ at St Paul’s, but the public perhaps does often continue to share the frustrations about the morality of the financial system which gave rise to the occupations.

It is noteworthy that, in an ICM telephone poll for The Guardian on 21-23 October (after Occupy London commenced its sit-in around St Paul’s on 15 October), 51% of 1,003 adults agreed that the worldwide protests were ‘right to want to call time on a system that puts profit before people’, whereas 38% believed there is no practical alternative to capitalism.

The flames of discord in the affair seem likely to be fanned tomorrow (7 November) by the publication of a report from the St Paul’s Institute on the moral standards of the City of London. This is based upon a ComRes survey of 500 workers in the City’s financial institutions conducted during the summer.

The report, previewed in today’s The Independent on Sunday, was originally due to appear on 27 October but was deferred when Dr Giles Fraser, Director of the Institute, resigned from his post of Canon Chancellor at St Paul’s Cathedral, the first of three ‘victims’ of the controversy at the Cathedral to date.

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Legalization of Gay Marriage

The Conservative Party risks losing Christian votes if it goes ahead with legalizing gay marriage, as advocated by David Cameron at the Party’s recent conference in Manchester, a ComRes survey published on 4 November 2011 has revealed.

The poll was undertaken on behalf of Premier Christian Media Trust among the ComRes CPanel of UK churchgoing Christians aged 18 and over. 544 were interviewed online between 25 and 31 October 2011. Results are available (albeit with inadequate labelling of data tables for Question 2) at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Premier_Gay_Marriage_data_tables_Nov11.pdf

Asked how they viewed the Conservative proposal to legalize same-sex marriages, only 11% of Christians supported it, while 83% were opposed (three-quarters of them strongly).

Hostility was particularly concentrated among the over-65s (90%), compared with 26% support in the 18-34 cohort. Denominationally, Independents, Pentecostals and Roman Catholics were most critical.

Overwhelmingly, these churchgoers foresaw negative consequences in the event of the law being changed in respect of gay marriage:

  • 85% were concerned that the value of marriage would be further undermined
  • 78% that it would be harder to argue against ‘other novel types of relationship’ such as polygamy
  • 88% that schools would be required to teach the equal validity of same-sex and heterosexual relationships
  • 93% that clergy would have to conduct gay marriages against their consciences

Absolutely nobody claimed that Cameron’s commitment to legalizing same-sex marriages would make them more likely to vote Conservative. 37% said that it would make no difference to their political behaviour.

But 57% were clear that they would be less disposed to back the Tories in future, this being especially true of Pentecostals (69%) and Roman Catholics (75%).

This CPanel study does not appear to have covered a related and similarly topical issue, the Government’s plan to permit civil partnerships in England and Wales to be celebrated in religious buildings. General public opinion on this matter was summarized in our previous BRIN post at:

http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=889

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Inside the English Defence League

The English Defence League (EDL), founded in Luton in 2009, is widely considered to be the biggest populist street movement in a generation, with an active ‘membership’ of at least 25,000 to 35,000. Its official statements and literature suggest that its driving ideology is to confront radical Islam, yet this does not appear to be the primary concern of its supporters, according to a report published by the think-tank Demos on 30 October 2011. Written by Jamie Bartlett and Mark Littler, Inside the EDL: Populist Politics in a Digital Age is available to download at:

http://www.demos.co.uk/files/Inside_the_edl_WEB.pdf?1320079341

With the support of the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, Demos carried out an online survey of 1,295 EDL sympathizers and supporters aged 16 and over recruited from the EDL’s Facebook community between 5 and 11 May and 5 and 19 September 2011. Given that the EDL has no formal joining procedures or membership list, this was the only practicable option, but polling via social media sites can be problematic, not least because of the risk of ‘trolls’. These challenges are fully recognized by the authors, who contribute an important chapter (pp. 35-41) on methodology, which is well worth reading in its own right, for generic lessons which can be learned.

Asked to identify the two main issues facing the country, immigration headed the list with 42%, followed by radical Islam (31%), lack of jobs (26%), terrorism (19%), and the financial crisis (14%). On the other hand, 41% of supporters claimed to have joined the EDL because of their opposition to Islam (45% of men and 28% of women), and 31% gave reasons relating to the preservation of national values (which, for some, may also have carried an implication that such values were under threat from Islam). 

Beyond this anti-Islamism element, religion was not a strong focus for EDL supporters. Although 45% professed to be Christians, only 7% cited religion as an important personal value for them, way behind the most highly-rated values of security (36%), strong government (34%), rule of law (30%), individual freedom (26%), and respect for human life (25%). Moreover, 77% said that they tended not to trust religious institutions, a far cry from the 83% who trusted the army.

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