Converts to Islam

Conversion to Islam by Britons is a centuries-old phenomenon but has only become numerically significant in recent decades. Mostly, the process passes relatively unnoticed by the public, but there have been occasional high-profile conversions, including recently that of the journalist Lauren Booth (sister-in-law of the former British prime minister, Tony Blair), which drew significant negative media coverage.

The phenomenon has attracted more attention in the academic literature, with, for example, important books by Ali Köse, Conversion to Islam: A Study of Native British Converts (London: Kegan Paul International, 1996) and Kate Zebiri, British Muslim Converts: Choosing Alternative Lives (Oxford: Oneworld Publications, 2008).

There have also been various autobiographies and biographies of converts, some historical, like Ron Geaves, Islam in Victorian Britain: The Life and Times of Abdullah Quilliam (Markfield: Kube Publishing, 2010), others more contemporary, such as Lucy Bushill-Matthews, Welcome to Islam: A Convert’s Tale (London: Continuum, 2008).

Yesterday’s edition of The Times (only available online to subscribers) contained a two-page feature by Ruth Gledhill, the newspaper’s religion correspondent, investigating British converts to Islam, largely through a sneak preview of an as yet unpublished report from Faith Matters, an organization which works towards conflict resolution and cohesion through partnership with faith communities in the UK and Middle East.

Entitled A Minority within a Minority: A Report on Converts to Islam in the United Kingdom, the publication is authored by Kevin Brice, a higher education administrator at Swansea University and a convert to Islam himself. He is also General Secretary of the Muslims in Britain Research Network and a member of the Association of Muslim Social Scientists. His academic profile is at http://www.mbrn.org.uk/members/bricekevin.html.

The number of converts to British Islam is estimated in the document to have almost doubled in the past decade, from 61,000 in 2001, to stand now at approximately 100,000, or 4% of the British Muslim community. Converts in the UK in 2010 alone are put at 5,200 in the light of a survey of over 250 London mosques. This annual rate is broadly on a par with conversions to Islam in France and Germany.

A separate online enquiry among 122 converts in August and September found that 38% were men and 62% women (although, surprisingly, marriage was not the key driver for conversion in at least 45% of instances).

The average age of conversion was 27.5 years. 44% had converted in 2001 or before and 56% subsequently. 56% of converts were white British, 16% other whites, and 29% non-whites. 7% were actually Pakistani by birth; they are presumed to have been brought up by lapsed Muslims.

Just 12% of converts altered their name officially following conversion, but a majority adopted a Muslim name or used a different name when with other Muslims. Three-quarters, including 90% of female converts, changed the way they dressed.

Converts did not generally regard their new faith as incompatible with Western life, although 39% did see themselves as Muslims first and British second. 84% considered that converts could act as a bridge between Muslim and non-Muslim communities and 64% rejected the notion that there is a natural conflict between being a devout Muslim and living in the UK.

According to Gledhill, Brice further discovered that the converts’ path was not entirely a smooth one. Their conversion occasioned a degree of isolation from their own families and friends, at least initially, doubtless partly reflecting latent Islamophobia in Britain.

At the same time, the new converts struggled to get the support they needed from their local mosque and were often ignored or mistrusted by birthright Muslims. They also came under pressure to comply with some practices which had more to do with culture than Islam.

POSTSCRIPT [7 January 2011]

Another two-page feature about the Faith Matters report appeared in The Independent on 4 January 2011, written by Jerome Taylor and Sarah Morrison. The article is available online at:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/the-islamification-of-britain-record-numbers-embrace-muslim-faith-2175178.html

The full report appears to have been published by Faith Matters on the same day and can be downloaded from:

http://faith-matters.org/images/stories/fm-reports/a-minority-within-a-minority-a-report-on-converts-to-islam-in-the-uk.pdf

Chapters of special statistical interest comprise: chapter 3 on estimating the number of converts to Islam in the UK; chapter 4 on print media portrayals of converts in the UK between 2001 and 2010; and chapter 5 on the survey of converts. 

Some minor changes to the original BRIN post have been made in the light of the availability of the full report.

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Who Worked on Christmas Day? Not All the Clergy!

Christmas Day may be both a religious festival and a secular public holiday in Britain, but many people have to, or choose to, work on the day, according to newly-released data from the Government’s Labour Force Survey, which interviews a very large sample of adults aged 16 and over resident at private addresses throughout the country.

The relevant press release does not yet seem to be available online on Office for National Statistics (ONS) or other Government websites, but, according to reports in the Boxing Day broadsheets, the data show that 881,000 Britons worked on Christmas Day in 2008, equivalent to about 3.5% of the workforce. This total was up by 19% from 741,000 in 2004 and slightly above the 872,000 in 2006.

Care assistants made up the largest number working a Christmas Day shift that year (160,000), followed by nurses (88,000), nursing auxiliaries (42,000), chefs and cooks (28,000), security guards (27,000), and police officers (25,000).

However, the occupation with the highest proportion of people working was the clergy, 57% of whom said that they worked on 25 December 2008. Some might be surprised that the figure was not even higher (as, indeed, was the ONS spokesperson, Nick Palmer), given the centrality of Christmas Day to the job, but allowance presumably has to be made for retired or sick clergy and those of non-Christian faiths.

The next highest proportions working on Christmas Day were paramedics (38%), farm managers (34%), midwives (31%), farm workers (28%), managers of licensed premises (26%), and hotel managers (24%).

Regionally, Scots were the most likely to be working on Christmas Day 2008 and residents of Northern Ireland the least (followed by London). Public sector employees were also more likely to work than their counterparts in the private sector, and women more than men.

These figures are probably confined to those who claimed that they actually attended their normal place of work on Christmas Day. They presumably exclude those who did some work from home (for example, logging on to their email or office files) and those who worked on other days during what has increasingly become a fortnight’s festive break for many employees.

Some feel for the size of this broader Christmas working community is given in a survey released by Post Office Travel Services on 27 December, based upon online interviews with 2,000 Britons. The relevant press release is, yet again, unavailable online at present, but reports in various media indicate that one in four will go to work at some stage over the festive period this year, with a further one in six working from home.

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I Believe in Angels – The Reality Behind the ABBA Lyrics

It can often be an uphill struggle to engage the news media in positive stories about religion, especially where statistics are also involved! However, the Bible Society and Christian Research were clearly on to a real winner with their press release on 23 December about popular belief in angels.

Thanks to a Press Association wire, and the inclusion of some city results (albeit based on small cell sizes), the story was picked up by local and regional newspapers the length and breadth of the UK, and by some national and international media, also.

The original release is not yet available on the Bible Society’s website, so this post draws upon coverage in the Daily Mail, Daily Express, The Independent, The Yorkshire Post and The Scotsman, as well as on the full data tables generously made available to BRIN by Christian Research.

The enquiry reported on was an online survey commissioned by the Bible Society and conducted by ICM Research on 15 and 16 December among a representative sample of 1,038 adult Britons aged 18 and over.

Reminded that the Bible states that angels were used to communicate with various characters in the Christmas narrative, 31% of Britons said that they believed in angels, 51% disbelieved, while 17% did not know what to think.

The number of believers was identical to a YouGov enquiry in October 2004 but rather less than the two-fifths recorded by TNS in July 2007 and Ipsos MORI in August 2009.

As reported by ICM, belief was notably greater among women (40%) than men (23%), and it was also somewhat higher among the over-45s than those aged 18-44 and with manual workers rather than non-manuals. The regional high was in London (40%).

Slightly fewer (29%) thought that they had a guardian angel watching over them personally. 54% disagreed and 17% did not know. Demographic variations were similar to the first question, with believers most prevalent among Londoners (37%) and women and the 55-64s (36% each).

This figure of 29% was lower than obtained in four Ipsos MORI polls about guardian angels, between February 1998 and August 2009, in which belief ranged between 31% and 46%.

Despite the relative incidence of belief in angels, only 5% of respondents claimed that they had actually seen or heard one. No demographic sub-group attained double figures, apart from the East Midlands (12%), including 17% of those whose nearest city was Nottingham. 88% were certain that they had not experienced an angel, with 7% unsure.

Canon Dr Ann Holt, the Bible Society’s Programme Director, interpreted the findings as ‘a sign of a spiritual need within many of us’.

The ICM survey also included a question about nativity plays at school, in the face of mounting evidence that a combination of secularization and political correctness is slowly killing them off.

Only a minority (44%) of schools in England and Wales were planning one at Christmas 2004, according to an Ipsos MORI poll for The TES, and the proportion is thought to have declined further during the past six years.

79% of Britons interviewed by ICM favoured such plays being performed in schools, rising to 88% for those aged 45-54 or living in Eastern England. The lowest levels of support were found in multicultural London (68%) and among the 18-24s (71%).

According to a study by Research Now for the Bible Society and Christian Research in December 2009, about one-fifth of the population attends a nativity play each year, peaking with the 35-44s (the cohort most likely to have children of primary school age).

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Top of the Christmas ‘Pops’

Silent Night is the nation’s favourite Christmas carol, according to a YouGov poll released today. Online interviews took place with 1,162 adult Britons aged 18 and over on 21 and 22 December. The data table is available at:

http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/YG-YouGov-Life-Christmas-Carols-221210.pdf

Silent Night took 20% of the overall vote, being especially popular among the over-60s (26%) and Scots (24%). Next came O, Come All Ye Faithful (10%), Away in a Manger (6%), Once in Royal David’s City (5%), and O, Little Town of Bethlehem (5%). Twenty other named carols also made it to the list, and there was a category of other (4%).

Only 10% of respondents said that they did not like any Christmas carols, including 20% of 18-24s and 14% of men and Northerners. This is a sharp fall from the 28% recorded by Gallup in a survey undertaken in December 1996.

Silent Night likewise topped the chart in that Gallup poll (21%), O, Come All Ye Faithful and Away in a Manger then tying in second place (9% each). A survey by NOP two years later, in November 1998, gave Silent Night an even more commanding position (33%).

The original lyrics of Silent Night (Stille Nacht, heilige Nacht) were written in Austria by Father Joseph Mohr in 1816. The carol was first performed in the Nikolaus-Kirche, Oberndorf on 24 December 1818, to a melody composed by Franz Xaver Gruber.

The English translation usually sung today appeared in 1859, and there have also been translations into more than forty other languages. British, French and German troops all sung it in the trenches during the Christmas truce of 1914.

The carol has been recorded by over three hundred artists, but it is probably the version recorded by Bing Crosby in the 1940s, which introduced it to a mass market, that still resonates most with the older generation today.

Whether carols are to your taste or not, all of us here at BRIN send our seasonal greetings and thanks for your encouragement and support during 2010. We shall be back with you again soon.

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Not Ashamed – Christianity in Britain

Some sections of British evangelical Christianity feel increasingly beleaguered in the face of what they perceive as the progressive marginalization of their faith, at the hands of the law, the media, government and employers.

Christian Concern is one organization seeking to redress the balance, underpinned by its e-mail subscription base of 27,000 supporters. On 1 December it formally launched its ‘Not Ashamed’ campaign, encouraging Christians to live out their faith in public.

Through its sister agency, the Christian Legal Centre, it has dealt with several high-profile cases on religious freedom, abortion and marriage and the family, defending Christians ‘who have stood for their beliefs and suffered the consequences’.

To coincide with the inauguration of ‘Not Ashamed’, Christian Concern commissioned ComRes to undertake a telephone survey into the public’s attitudes to the rights of Christians. Interviews were conducted with 1,006 adult Britons aged 18 and over on 26-29 November 2010.

Headline findings from the survey are contained in two press releases issued by Christian Concern on 5 and 20 December, which also provide useful background notes on the six legal cases which have informed the questions asked in the poll.

These press releases can be found at:

http://www.christianconcern.com/press-release/72-of-public-say-christians-should-be-able-to-refuse-to-act-against-their-conscience-w

http://www.christianconcern.com/our-concerns/employment/public-backs-protection-of-christian-conscience-at-work

The full data tables are at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/christianconcernpolldec10.aspx

The sample was evenly divided on the extent to which Britain can still be described as a Christian country, 50% thinking it can and 47% that it cannot. This represents a big shift since the NOP/New Society poll in March 1965, when the figures were 80% and 19% respectively.

The over-65s (66%) and Scots (57%) were among those most likely to consider Britain to be a Christian country. Dissentients were especially concentrated among the 18-24s (68%) and the C1 social group (54%).

In an implicit reference to the Shirley Chaplin vs Royal Devon and Exeter NHS Trust case, 73% of the whole sample (and 82% of the over-65s) agreed that people should have the legal right to wear Christian symbols such as a cross in their workplace. 24% disagreed, including 38% of 18-24s.

87% disagreed that health care workers should be threatened with the sack for offering to pray with patients, a question apparently prompted by the analogous cases of Olive Jones and Duke Amachree. Only 11% agreed with the proposition.

Opinion again split on the issue of whether would-be foster carers who hold that homosexual activity is morally wrong should be banned from fostering (an allusion to the case of Owen and Eunice Johns vs Derby City Council). 40% of respondents thought such foster carers should be banned, while 54% disagreed.

In a more summative question, 72% agreed that Christians should be able to refuse to act against their conscience without being penalized by their employer, with 22% in disagreement (including 31% of 18-24s).

Rather playing the Islamophobic card, 56% backed the statement that Muslims often enjoy greater freedom of speech and action than Christians in Britain today, the proportion reaching three-fifths among the over-55s, manual workers, Northerners and Scots. 36% disagreed, increasing to 48% of the 18-24s.

Christian Concern has glossed the survey as showing that ‘draconian and politically correct rules which discriminate against Christians living out their faith in the public square have been slammed by the public …’ And it reminded the Coalition Government of their reliance upon churches and Christian organizations to help deliver the Big Society.

In reality, this possibly over-interprets the poll findings, some of which could be read as delivering more mixed messages from the public about the importance of maintaining a Christian presence in the nation.

In particular, the youngest age cohorts seem to be more sceptical on this matter than others, reflecting the fact that, in separate investigations, they were least likely to profess Christianity or any religion (the Christian Concern survey did not enquire into religious affiliation).

Moreover, such support for the Christian viewpoint as was registered in this poll might have been qualified had the questions been put in a somewhat broader context, for example pitching the freedom of some Christians against equal opportunities for society as a whole.

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Thumbs Up to Religious Education?

We reported on 29 August (http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=512) about the importance which the British public attached in a YouGov poll to religious education (RE) relative to other school subjects.

On 13 December the RE Council (REC) of England and Wales, an umbrella body of fifty national organizations which was established in 1973, issued a press release highlighting some new research which it had commissioned in this area, under the banner ‘Young People Give Thumbs Up to RE’. See:

http://www.religiouseducationcouncil.org/content/view/183/46/

The study was undertaken online by Dubit Research on 18-22 October 2010 among a representative sample of 1,000 16-24 year-olds. 

It is being published as the Government sets out its Schools White Paper, calling for a return to traditional humanities-based disciplines (although, as things currently stand, the Department for Education has ruled that RE will not be counted as a humanity for the purposes of the English Bac, the proposed new measure of school effectiveness).

The key finding, according to REC’s press release, is that RE ‘is a valued subject that leaves a lasting impression on those who study it’. 

73% of the sample had taken either the full or short course GCSE in RE, comprising 69% of males and 77% of females. The proportion was fairly consistent across faith groups, even standing at 71% for those with no religion. Ethnically, blacks (81%) had the highest level of course take-up.  

When asked what they remembered about their RE lessons at school, the most popular memory was learning about several different religions (56%), the second was about debates on right and wrong (50%). Recall of these debates was notably higher by the 16-18s (57%) than the 22-24s (42%), so perhaps the effect wears off with time.

80% of respondents thought RE could promote better understanding of different religions and beliefs, with 13% disagreeing. Even 77% of those professing no religion agreed with this statement. The figure rose to 83% among women, the 19-21s, Muslims, and those who had studied RE at GCSE; to 85% for Christians and 97% for blacks.

52% agreed and 32% disagreed with the proposition that there should be more effective teaching about Christianity at school so that pupils can better understand English history, culture and society. Agreement was higher (55%) among those who had taken RE as a GCSE than those who had not (43%). Peak agreement was recorded for Christians (69%) and blacks (63%).

56% of young people felt that studying RE at school had been a positive influence. Those most likely to agree included blacks (77%), Muslims (71%), Asians (68%), Christians (66%) and Hindus (63%). 29% disagreed with the suggestion and 15% expressed no opinion. 

More details of the survey are contained in a 10-page report which is available on request from the contact telephone/email given in the press release. Some of the above statistics are derived from this report. The poll has also received coverage in The TES for 17 December.

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Today’s News – (1) ‘Islamic Extremism’, (2) Religion at Christmas

The regular weekly YouGov poll for The Sunday Times, published today, includes questions on a couple of topics which will interest BRIN readers. Interviewing was online on 16 and 17 December, among a representative sample of 1,966 adult Britons aged 18 and over. The data tables are available at:

http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/YG-Archives-Pol-ST-results-171210.pdf

‘ISLAMIC EXTREMISM’

On 11 December an Iraqi-born British resident, Taimur Abdulwahab al-Abdaly, blew himself up during a suicide bombing on a busy shopping street in Stockholm. He had been a student at what is now the University of Bedfordshire in 2001-04 and had been told to leave the Luton Islamic Centre in 2007 on account of his radical views, although the mosque authorities did not report him to the police. He and his family lived in the town.

Against this background, YouGov posed a number of questions about so-called ‘Islamic extremism’. 51% of respondents considered that the government was doing insufficient to tackle the problem, including 63% of the over-60s, 60% of Conservative voters, 58% of men, and 57% of Northerners. Those least likely to take this line were young people aged 18-24 (31%) and Liberal Democrats (37%).

A further 22% thought that government was doing all it reasonably could to combat extremism, 10% that it was devoting too much effort to the issue, while 17% expressed no clear opinion.

A similar proportion, 52%, argued that universities should be doing more to combat ‘Islamic extremism’, rising to 68% among Conservative supporters and 65% of the over-60s. 13% believed that universities were doing all they reasonably could, 4% that they were already doing too much in this area, with 30% uncertain (including 38% of 18-24s).

Asked whether the Muslim community in Britain co-operated with the police in combating extremism, 7% believed that most or all British Muslims did so, 40% that many did so with a minority not co-operating, 24% that only a minority co-operated and the majority not, 13% that few or none co-operated, with 16% expressing no opinion.

Thus, 37% alleged that a majority of British Muslims failed to work with the police against extremism. The highest figures were for Conservative voters in the 2010 general election (44%), men (42%), the over-60s (42%), Northerners (42%), and the C2DE social group (40%).

Three-quarters of adults were critical of the directors of the Luton mosque for failing to inform the police of al-Abdaly’s views, the over-60s (82%), Conservatives (79%), and Northerners (78%) most inclining to this position. 12% thought the mosque should not have contacted the police, and 14% were uncertain.

78% of the sample agreed that all extremist preachers (whether Muslim, Christian or from another religion) should be banned from Britain, including 86% of Conservatives and the over-60s. The remaining 22% divided equally between don’t knows and those who did not want extremist preachers excluded.

The general nature of the question was presumably intended to subsume the case of Terry Jones, the American pastor with extremist views against Islam, which has been in the news recently.

CHRISTMAS

19% of Britons said that they would be attending a church service this Christmas, 5% less than in another recent YouGov poll for The Sun (http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=780). This sub-divided between 8% who regularly attended church throughout the year and 11% who did not normally worship but expected to do so over Christmas. 76% said they would not attend church over the festive period, 2% of whom were otherwise regular churchgoers, and 6% were undecided what they would be doing.

The apparent marginality of religion to the public’s Christmas was underlined by another question in which 75% described it as a predominantly commercial event and only 4% as a religious festival. A further 16% said that it was both and 3% neither. The youngest age cohort (18-24) was most likely to say that Christmas was wholly or partly about religion, followed by Liberal Democrats (24%), and the 18-39s, ABC1s, and Scots (23% each).

Finally, respondents were offered a choice of five guests for their Christmas Day meal. 15% elected for the Queen, 11% for Ann Widdecombe (the former Conservative politician, whose profile has been raised by her appearance on Strictly Come Dancing), 10% Matt Cardle (winner of the X Factor), 5% Liz Hurley and Shane Warne (media celebrities who had left their respective partners to start an affair, although some papers today suggest that it is already over), and just 3% the Archbishop of Canterbury. 55% wanted none of these guests at their dining table.

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Plymouth Faith Action Audit

Some politicians and voters are pretty sceptical about David Cameron’s concept of the ‘Big Society’, but faith-based organizations certainly seem to be keen to demonstrate that they are already doing ‘it’.

Various surveys of religion as social capital have been undertaken recently. Nationally, they include research by the Cinnamon Network (http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=735) and by the Evangelical Alliance (to be published in full on 11 January).

Locally, we have already covered on these pages a study of faith in action in Oxfordshire (http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=369). Now the Plymouth Faith Action Audit has been completed and is available to download at:

http://www.ctip.org.uk/images/stories/ctip/faafullreport_secured.pdf

The Plymouth survey was carried out by the University of Plymouth’s Social and Public Policy Research Group on behalf of Churches Together in Plymouth and Cornerstone Vision. Its methodology replicates a similar enquiry in Stoke-on-Trent in 2007 by Saltbox and Faithworks.

The principal survey instrument was a postal questionnaire sent to 155 faith organizations, 80 (52%) of which responded, the overwhelming majority of them Christian. Eight semi-structured telephone interviews were also conducted, to add qualitative depth.

Allowing for some double-counting, the report calculates that the responding faith organizations contribute over 450,000 hours of voluntary community service each year. These are worth (using the minimum wage as the benchmark) £2,780,000.

These figures would need to be grossed up to include the 48% of faith groups which did not respond. The data are also said to exclude ‘the goods, services and capital contributions’ made by faith organizations, although this is not further explained in the document.

The top ten public services provided were in the areas of:

  • explanation of religious texts (51%)
  • children’s groups (49%)
  • marriage preparation (47%)
  • school liaison (46%)
  • vulnerable children (44%)
  • youth groups (43%)
  • older people (43%)
  • toddler/play groups (41%)
  • life skills (40%)
  • food/shelter for vulnerable people (40%)
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Understanding Society

On 13 December the Economic and Social Data Service (ESDS) made an interim release of data for the general population component from Wave 1, Year 1 (running from 8 January 2009 to 7 March 2010) of Understanding Society, the new multi-topic United Kingdom Household Longitudinal Study (UKHLS). The dataset is catalogued as SN 6614. The full release of Wave 1 will be made in 2011.

UKHLS is, in part, the successor to the British Household Panel Survey, waves 1-7, 9, 11 and 13-18 of which (spanning the years 1991-2009) included sundry religious variables. Entries for each of these waves appear in the BRIN source database, and the relevant data are available from ESDS (as SN 5151). The three other components of UKHLS are: the general population sample, the innovation panel, and an ethnic minority booster.

UKHLS is based at the Institute for Social and Economic Research at the University of Essex. Fieldwork is conducted by the National Centre for Social Research (NatCen) and, in Northern Ireland, by the Central Survey Unit of the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency. Funding is provided by the Economic and Social Research Council and various Government departments and agencies.

UKHLS is an annual longitudinal (or panel) survey of the members of a nationally representative sample of approximately 40,000 households in the UK, the same individuals being re-interviewed in each wave. Each wave is collected over 24 months, the main first wave of data collection commencing in January 2009.

One person per household completes the household questionnaire. Additionally, each adult aged 16 and over is interviewed face-to-face and fills in a self-completion questionnaire. Young people aged 10 to 15 years are only asked to respond to a paper self-completion questionnaire. Wave 1, Year 1 of the general population sample had participation from 14,103 households (59% response) and 22,265 adults (86% response).

The principal religious interest of Wave 1 for adults is as follows: current religious affiliation; religion of upbringing; attendance at religious services; difference made by religious beliefs to a respondent’s life; religion as a perceived reason for discrimination in employment; and religion as a perceived reason for various forms of harassment. The young people’s questionnaire just covers religious affiliation.

Extensive documentation for Wave 1, Year 1 of UKHLS, including a codebook with basic frequencies, can be accessed at:

http://www.esds.ac.uk/findingData/snDescription.asp?sn=6614&key=6614

More background information about UKHLS in general will be found on the Understanding Society website:

http://www.understandingsociety.org.uk/

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Putting Christ into Christmas

In addition to ongoing daily Christmas polling for its own advent calendar (as covered in our previous post – http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=739), YouGov has conducted a more extensive survey (running to 19 questions) into attitudes to and the observance of Christmas on behalf of The Sun. Fieldwork was conducted online on 12-13 December among a representative sample of 2,092 adult Britons aged 18 and over.

12% of respondents regarded the celebration of the birth of Jesus as the most important part of Christmas. Variations by demographic sub-groups were relatively small, except for age, the proportion being only 4% for the 18-24s and rising steadily throughout each cohort to reach 19% among the over-60s.

61% cited being around family as the most significant aspect of the festival, 12% having a break from work, and 5% exchanging presents. The overall distribution of replies was not dissimilar to that obtained in a recent GfK NOP study for The Children’s Society (http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=744).

Notwithstanding this rather lowly 12% putting the birth of Jesus at the heart of Christmas, 51% of adults believed the traditional story of His birth to be largely true, albeit more than two in three of them did not think it had actually happened on Christmas Day itself.

This figure of 51% equates with those saying the birth of Jesus was relevant to their Christmas in ComRes/Theos polls in 2008 and 2010 (as mentioned at http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=748).

However, more nuanced questioning in the 2008 survey produced a spread of statistics for belief in the historicity of key elements of the Biblical account: 56% that Jesus was born in Bethlehem, 37% that King Herod ordered the death of male infants, 34% that Jesus was born of a virgin called Mary, and 28% that angels visited shepherds to announce Christ’s birth. 

Belief in the traditional story of the birth of Jesus in the current YouGov poll was particularly affected by age. Whereas only 37% of those between 18 and 24 were believers, 64% of the over-60s were. One-quarter of the entire sample disbelieved the story in whole or large part, while 23% rejected all the options or did not know. 

24% of interviewees said they planned to attend a church service over the Christmas season. This was only two-thirds of the level reported in the 2010 ComRes/Theos poll. Even so, it is still likely to be aspirational rather than to reflect the actual level of churchgoing, which will be much lower.

The 24% sub-divided into 5% aiming to worship on Christmas Day itself, 11% on Christmas Eve, and 8% on some other occasion around Christmas. 67% had no intentions of going to church, and 9% were uncertain what they would be doing.

The highest levels of anticipated attendance were among over-60s (32%), Scots (32%), and Conservative voters (30%). The lowest were for Labour supporters (22%), men (21%), 18 to 39-year-olds (20%), residents of Northern England (20%), and the C2DE social group (18%).

To put this 5% into some kind of context, BRIN readers should note that 53% of YouGov respondents expected to log on to the Internet on Christmas Day, 31% to watch the Queen’s Speech, 17% to have sex, 15% to have an argument, and 10% to take exercise.

Some of these statistics will doubtless turn out to be exaggerations, also, but we will leave you to guess which one(s)!

The full data tables for this YouGov survey are available at:

http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/YG-Archives-Pol-Sun-Christmas-161210.pdf

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