Economic Inequality and Religion

The outgoing Labour Government’s often controversial Equality Bill received royal assent on 8 April and became the Equality Act 2010.

In the economic sphere the legislation, and the Parliamentary debates on it, were informed by the work of the independent National Equality Panel, which sat between October 2008 and November 2009 under the chairpersonship of Professor John Hills of the London School of Economics.

The Panel’s report, running to almost 500 pages, was published by the Government Equalities Office in January under the title An Anatomy of Economic Inequality in the UK. This is available to download at:

http://www.equalities.gov.uk/pdf/NEP%20Report%20bookmarked.pdf

Buried within the document are some fascinating glimpses into the relationship between religion (as defined by religious affiliation) and economic disadvantage. Space precludes a full evaluation of the evidence collected by the Panel in this area, but some feel for the findings can be gleaned from the following headlines.

In terms of highest educational qualification, according to the Labour Force Survey (LFS) for 2006-08, more than a third of Buddhist and Hindu men and of Jewish women have first or higher degrees, and 43% of Jewish men. Christian and Muslim men have the smallest proportion with degrees, at 18%. More than two-fifths of Muslim men and women have no qualification beyond level 1. Those without any religion are slightly better qualified overall than the rest of the population. See figure 3.10 on page 102 of the report.

Also according to the LFS for 2006-08, the highest full-time employment rates for both working age men and women are for Christians, Hindus and those without any religion. One quarter of Jewish men and 16% of Muslim men are self-employed. The lowest employment rates are for Muslim men (47%) and women (24%), with 42% of Muslim women classed as economically inactive and looking after family or home. Formal unemployment for all men is 5% but 9% for Muslim men. 13% of Muslim men and women are economically inactive because they are students (compared with 5% of all those of working age). See figure 4.3(a) on page 114 and figure 4.3(b) on page 115.

Median gross hourly wages in £ at 2008 prices, derived from the LFS, are presented in figure 5.4 on page 132 and table 5.4 on page 149, and are summarized below.

       Men Women
Christians

    11.24           

8.82

Jews     17.50

 13.37

Muslims

     8.05

8.32

Hindus     12.02

9.56

Buddhists     11.44

9.67

Sikhs     10.11

8.59

Other religions        11.14

9.43

No religion     11.25

9.04

Median total wealth in £ by religion was also calculated on page 208 of the report, as follows:

Christian households        223,000
Jewish households        422,000
Muslim households         42,000
Hindu households        206,000
Sikh households        229,000
Other religions        161,000
No religion        138,000

The data thus appear to confirm some kind of religious pecking order of economic advantage, to the extent that the Jewish community tends to be most affluent and the Muslim one most deprived, at the aggregate level. Differences between other religious groups are less marked and less consistent across measures.

In view of recent clashes between secularists and Christians, some Christians will doubtless smile at the fact that the median total wealth of those who reject all religion is 38% less than for Christians, despite the median hourly wages of the two groups being not dissimilar. Is this the prosperity gospel at work?!

Of course, the reality is far more complex than suggested here. Other factors need to be brought into play when considering the relationship between religion and economics, not least the interaction with ethnicity and age.

Equally, our ability to draw conclusions continues to be hindered by Government’s unwillingness to differentiate between the various Christian denominations when recording people’s religious profession, either in the population census or the Labour Force Survey.

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Voting Intentions and Attitudes to Religious Minorities

With just over a week to go before the general election, we are literally awash with opinion polls at present. Unfortunately, few of those conducted during the present campaign have featured faith-specific issues, while the relatively small sample sizes mean that we get few clues about the attitudes of people who support political parties other than the ‘big three’.

It thus seems appropriate to recall one very large scale survey which YouGov ran for Channel 4 in the lead-in to last year’s European parliamentary elections, when the ‘minor parties’ were expected to make a strong showing in Britain.

No fewer than 32,268 electors were interviewed online between 29 May and 4 June 2009, including 2,749 persons intending to vote for the Green Party, 4,306 for the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) and 985 for the British National Party (BNP).

The findings, which have long been in the public domain at

http://www.yougov.co.uk/extranets/ygarchives/content/pdf/Megapoll_EuroElections.pdf

have attracted scant attention. For us, they are especially useful in highlighting opinions about religious minorities, specifically Jews and Muslims, by voting intentions.

10% of all voters considered that Jews suffered unfair discrimination in Britain. Green supporters were the most sympathetic (15%), with Labourites and Liberal Democrats on 12%, Conservatives and UKIP voters on 9% and the BNP on 6%.

6% overall thought the Jews benefited from unfair advantage in Britain. Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat and Green supporters all stood at 5%, UKIP at 6% and the BNP at 12%.

Asked whether there was a major international conspiracy led by Jews and Communists to undermine traditional Christian values in Britain and other western countries, 17% said this was completely or partially true.

The proportion rose to 21% for UKIP and 33% for BNP voters, the other parties ranging from 9% (Greens) to 19% (Conservatives). Those who said the statement was completely untrue numbered 62% in the aggregate but only 48% in the case of BNP followers.  

Just 1% of the sample registered as holocaust deniers (and no more than 2% even for BNP voters). However, 8% of UKIP and 18% of BNP supporters thought the scale of the holocaust had been exaggerated.

Turning to Muslims, 21% of all voters held that they suffered unfair discrimination in Britain. The highest percentages were for the Greens (40%) and Liberal Democrats (33%), with Labour on 29% and the Conservatives on 15%. UKIP (8%) and BNP voters (3%) were least sympathetic to Muslims.

39% felt that Muslims in Britain enjoyed unfair advantages, and this figure rose to 61% in the case of UKIP and 70% for BNP voters. They were followed by the Conservatives on 44%, Labour on 27%, the Liberal Democrats on 26% and the Greens on 22%.

Still larger numbers agreed that, even in its ‘milder forms’, Islam constituted a serious danger to western civilization. 44% overall held this view, with 64% among UKIP and 79% BNP voters. Conservatives stood at 49%, Labour at 37%, Liberal Democrats at 32% and the Greens at 27%. Those in disagreement were 32%, with only the Greens achieving a majority (55%); among UKIP supporters the figure was 17% and for the BNP’s 7%.

Three conclusions emerge from these results. First, there is significantly more prejudice against Muslims than Jews. Second, the actual level of prejudice varies considerably according to the measure used and the wording of the question. Third, Green and Liberal Democrat voters are most tolerant (but by no means totally unprejudiced), and UKIP and (in particular) BNP supporters apparently most prejudiced against Jews and Muslims.

It should be noted that all the above data relate to the views of those intending to vote for one of the six political parties in May-June 2009. These views may not necessarily be current. Nor should they be confused with the official positions of each of the parties as set out in their general election manifestos or by their leadership.

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Demonic Britain

There have been 968 reports of demonic activity in Britain during the past quarter-century, according to research conducted by Lionel Fanthorpe for the latest DVD release of the US television series Supernatural, which is normally broadcast on the cable channel Living.

Fanthorpe, one of the UK’s leading authorities on unexplained phenomena, compiled his statistics from archives, websites and his own files. The data relate to sightings and recordings of supernatural beings with satanic qualities.

The most demonic county is revealed to be Yorkshire, with 74 reports of demons, demonic possession and sightings of hell hounds, water demons, ghouls and werewolves.

South-Western counties scored particularly highly, with Devon coming second in the league table, with 57 reports, followed by Somerset (51) and Wiltshire (46). Dorset was in sixth position, with 37 reports.

Inverness came fifth, with 39 reports, which included 13 sightings of water ghosts, evil spirits whose main purpose is to lure their victims into dangerous water and then drown them.    

Norfolk and Lancashire were seventh equal (32 reports), with Sussex and Derbyshire eighth equal (30), Essex and Suffolk ninth equal (29) and Lincolnshire in tenth place (24).

Fanthorpe’s research has been reported in various media, including:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/howaboutthat/7631387/Ghost-sightings-highest-in-25-years.html

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Guardian Fact File not so factual

The Guardian is publishing a series of ‘Factfile UK’ supplements this week. The first of them was on Population (Saturday 24 April 2010).

Continue reading

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Christianity in Western Europe

On 1 April the Paris-based Roman Catholic daily newspaper La Croix published the headline findings of a poll which it had commissioned into Western European attitudes to Christianity.

The survey was undertaken online by the Institut Français d’Opinion Publique (IFOP) between 11 and 19 March 2010. Representative samples of 3,030 adults aged 18 and over were interviewed in France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy and Spain, including 505 Britons.  

IFOP’s full 57-page report (in French), including breaks by gender, age, occupation, urban/rural residence, region and religion, appears at:

http://www.la-croix.com/illustrations/Multimedia/Actu/2010/4/1/sondage-ifop.pdf

Asked about the visibility of Christians in society, 11% of Britons consider that Christians are too visible and 33% insufficiently visible (the highest figure for all five countries). The British proportion rises to 52% for those aged 65 and over (against 27% for the under-35s) and also exceeds one-half for Protestants (however, it is only 13% for those without any religion). 56% of all Britons think the visibility of Christians to be about right.

78% of Britons agree that Christians and the Churches are doing a poor job in reaching out to young people, much the same as in France, Germany and Spain, although significantly higher than the Italian figure of 37%. The range in Britain is from 65% of non-Christians and 69% in Greater London to 83% among men and 84% of those for whom Christians are too visible.

Only 34% of Britons believe that all religions are equally valid, the lowest percentage of the five countries (with a high of 62% in France). The figure is greatest among the under-35s (41%), Greater Londoners (40%), the irreligious (45%) and those who say Christians are too visible (69%).

69% of Britons feel that the message and values of Christianity remain relevant today, just 1% below Italy and far ahead of France, Germany and Spain. The British proportion rises inexorably with age, from 54% for those aged 18-24 to 85% among the over-65s. It stands at well over four-fifths for all groups of professing Christians but sinks to 48% for those without a religion.

Challenged to elaborate on the priorities for the Christian Churches today, 53% of Britons consider that the Churches should be available for life’s key moments, 21% more than the five-nation average. This stands at 60% for professing Anglicans, doubtless thinking of the Church of England’s traditional role as provider of the rites of passage.

38% of Britons want the Churches to agitate for world peace (a particular priority for Catholics and non-Christians), 28% to combat domestic poverty (especially important for the young), 27% to spread the message of Christ (advocated notably by Protestants and those for whom Christians are too invisible) and 14% to work for greater justice.

Beyond the Churches, in society as a whole, Britons feel that Christian values have the greatest positive role to play in respect of the family and education (44%), followed by interfaith and intercultural dialogue (40%), solidarity with the poor (25%), the moralisation of capitalism (20%), bioethics (16%), the protection of the environment (10%) and integration of immigrants (8%).

These are generally not dissimilar figures to the four other countries, although Britons assign a lower priority to poverty and a higher one to the moralisation of capitalism, the latter perhaps reflecting the fact that the economic recession has bitten deeper and lasted longer in Britain than in most other Western nations.

In Britain family and education are especially prized as a domain for Christian values by the over-65s (50%), Catholics (53%), non-Anglican Protestants (54%) and non-Christians (51%). Interfaith and intercultural dialogue are most important for the elderly and Protestants. Solidarity with the poor is a particular agenda item for the middle-aged, middle class and Catholics.

Summing up, La Croix concluded that the survey demonstrates the continuing recognition by Europeans of Christianity’s traditionally privileged position. The ‘Christian anchorage’ appears ‘too deep to be shifted by the waves stirred by current events’. However, the newspaper notes that the French have a tendency to be most critical of Christianity, while ‘for the English above all, religion is a private affair’.

Certainly, the poll reveals a fairly strong Christian undercurrent among the British people, albeit one which may be more rooted in historical and emotional legacy rather than a vibrant faith which translates into orthodox religious belief and practice.

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Religiosity and Party Choice

It’s interesting to read Justin Parkinson, Political Reporter at the BBC, on Christianity and the election.

Clive Field has already posted extensively earlier this week here and here on the ComRes/CPanel survey of Christians’ political attitudes, conducted 30 March-12 April. The think-tank Theos also commissioned a poll of religion and politics on 17 and 18 February, which Clive has covered here.

It’s noteworthy that in the European elections of 2009, the Christian Party – established five years earlier – won 250,000 votes, or 1.6 per cent nationally. While this was not a significant result at the national level, it was nevertheless ahead of Arthur Scargill’s Socialist Labour Party. The party also polled 2.9 per cent in London. Andrew Brown has set out some interesting thoughts on the Christian Party here.

My personal guess, though, is that strong Christians won’t swing the election this time, although this is almost pure intuitivism.

First, it is incredibly difficult to predict what will happen now – whether the Lib Dem surge is going to last, and how that will affect the outcome. As far as I’m aware, psephologists had not expected the leaders’ debates to matter much, beyond a brief bounce. If there is a great deal of switching, particularly from none to Lib Dem (and particularly by the under-25s), and turnout is affected, it’s difficult to predict both shares of votes and how they translate to seats.

Second, my guess is that there are very few Christians who vote as Christians, rather than in line with their political ideology which in turn is more likely to be driven by socio-economic status, as well as perception of the apparent fitness for government of different parties and party leaders.

Third, the ‘Christian vote’ is not an enormous constituency. A quick look at the British Social Attitudes survey for 2008 suggests that about 9% of the population are Christians who attend church weekly or more (and there is other evidence to suggest that people over-report their church attendance – David Voas alluded to this earlir this week in his post on Easter church attendance).

I did a basic analysis of party choice and religiosity for this year’s British Social Attitudes report. This suggested that after controlling for other socio-demographic variables, there was a weak but positive correlation between religiosity (strength of religiousness, rather than just religious identity) and likelihood of supporting Tory or Labour compared to no party (you have to have a base category so in this case it was ‘none’). For the Lib Dems, and other parties (Greens, Nats and others combined), there was no difference comapred with the ‘nones’.

The next question was whether this was causal, or whether the causality might run the other way (from political alignment to religiosity). I’m doing further work at the moment which suggests it is causal.

But even if there were such a relationship at the national level, what does this mean for this election? Expressing a party choice in the 2008 BSA survey was cheap talk, almost two years ago. Furthermore, where are the ‘strong Christians’ living? I can imagine that many older, traditional, staunch Anglicans (for example) live in safe seats, where even if their vote is partly determined by their religiosity, this might have negligible impact.

It’s also difficult to test. We could gather data on congregations at the constituency level, or compile many case studies. One possibility might be the Taking Part survey which provides neighbourhood-level measures of religious practice in the 2007/8 survey (though it doesn’t collect data on party choice). This could be used to calculate constituency-level measures of practice using http://geoconvert.mimas.ac.uk/ and incorporated into a constituency-level study.

Ideally we would have a very large survey including measures of religious affiliation and strength of religiosity, with enough detail to look at how these correlate with party choice at the constituency level – or at least the marginal constituencies.

An interesting insight is the following work by Ed Fieldhouse and Dave Cutts on electoral turnout (rather than party choice) by South Asian communities in 2001, which found differences between Hindus, Sikhs and Muslims.

There is undoubtedly more work out there which looks at religion (particularly religious affiliation rather than religiosity) and voting at ward level – so please send links because I have much to learn here. In some areas parties may sponsor candidates who they think can help deliver part of a community vote. Other cases include the Respect alliance which in some areas has appealed to a Muslim anti-war vote. Ingrid Storm’s PhD research suggests a link between ‘ethnic Christianity’ and attitudes to immigration. If true, this may partly account for the increasing use of ‘Christian Britain’-type language of the BNP.

If you have more to add on Christianity and the forthcoming election – or religiosity and politics writ large – please add your thoughts below.

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St George, Patron Saint of England

Friday (23 April) will be St George’s Day, celebrated for centuries as England’s national day. George was a Christian martyr of the fourth century AD who has been England’s patron saint since the fourteenth century, in succession to Edward the Confessor. The slaying of the dragon was not attributed to George until the late twelfth century.

In anticipation of the 2010 commemoration, This England magazine commissioned OnePoll, the online market research company, to conduct (between 7 and 14 April) a multinational survey into patriotism among 5,820 adults aged 18-65 drawn from its membership panel.

This reveals England as the least patriotic of the nine European countries surveyed, with a marked disinclination to fly the St George’s Cross. Moreover, only one in three of the English knew St George’s Day was this Friday, and more than four in ten were ignorant of the reasons for St George being England’s patron saint.

These proportions can be compared with an equivalent study for This England last year, conducted online by YouGov on 3-6 April 2009 when 44% of 1,714 English adults aged 18 and over correctly gave the date of St George’s Day and 50% knew why George is the patron saint of England.

Of course, this level of knowledge may be exaggerated, since one of the problems about asking factual questions in online surveys is that respondents can look up the answers on the internet or in a book and thus cheat!

Interestingly, given the choice, only 25% of 512 practising Christians in the UK would choose St George as the patron saint of England, according to a ComRes poll for Premier Christian Media between 22 April and 1 May 2009. 11% preferred St Augustine, 9% St Alban, 5% St Cuthbert, 4% St Thomas à Becket, while 20% did not want England to have a patron saint at all.

A press release about the OnePoll survey will be found at:

http://www.onepoll.com/press-archive/England-least-patriotic-country

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Saliency of Political Issues

We have already noted one headline finding from the online Cpanel survey of 422 practising Christians conducted by ComRes for Premier Christian Radio between 30 March and 12 April 2010 (‘Christians and the general election’, 19 April).

Hot off the press, ComRes has now released the full findings, running to 84 pages of data tables, for this poll. They cover the attitudes of Christians to political issues, political party leaders and the prospects of a hung Parliament following the general election.

The tables will be found at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/premierchristiansapril2010.aspx

Space does not permit a complete analysis of the results, but it is useful to highlight here the saliency of particular political issues among practising Christians and the electorate as a whole (the latter data are taken from an Ipsos MORI poll of 1,503 adult Britons aged 18 and over interviewed by telephone on 19-22 March 2010).

The percentages of each of these two groups saying that a specific political issue was likely to be very important to them in helping to decide which party to vote for at the forthcoming general election were as follows:

  CHRISTIANS ELECTORATE
Economy

64

32

Families

63

Not asked

Healthcare

53

26

Education

52

23

Crime

42

8

Immigration

34

14

Environment

31

5

Taxes

27

12

Third world/international issues

27

Not asked

Climate change

19

Not asked

Transport

17

3

What is interesting from the above table is that, while the economy, healthcare and education are key priorities for both groups, practising Christians appear to be much more exercised about every issue than do electors in general.

When asked a different question, to choose from a list of issues which is the most important one facing Britain today, practising Christians gave the following answers: economy (42%), family and societal breakdown (13%), secularism (11%), immigration (7%), moral disintegration (7%), faults in the political system (5%), crime (3%), unemployment (2%) and religious freedom (2%).

The poll thus suggests that politicians courting votes would be well-advised to remember that practising Christians appear to be informed and concerned voters, often with specific political preoccupations.

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In the Firing Line

One of the more surprising religion-related news stories in recent weeks has been the row which developed over the use of models of ‘generic Eastern buildings’ on the Ministry of Defence (MoD)’s firing range at Bellerby, North Yorkshire. They were designed to simulate an overseas environment in which British troops might be operationally deployed.

However, the Bradford Council for Mosques thought the mock-ups looked suspiciously like mosques. Under a barrage of criticism, not just from Muslims, the Ministry issued a public apology and partly dismantled the offending structures.

YouGov tested popular opinion on the subject in an online survey among a representative sample of 2,404 adult Britons aged 18 and over on 9-12 April 2010. The results of this poll, with breaks by gender, age, social grade and region, are posted at:

http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/YG-Archives-Muslims-12.04.pdf

28% of respondents thought that it was wrong for the MoD to use mosque-like replicas on the firing range, with women (33%) and Scots (35%) being especially critical. 64% could find nothing specifically wrong in what the MoD had done, including 74% of men. There were 9% don’t knows.

35% wanted the mosque-like replicas to be changed, the figure rising to 41% for women and 45% for Scots. 54% (with 64% of men) thought they should be retained since they helped the training of the armed forces. 12% expressed no view either way.

30% agreed that the MoD had not thought or worried about the potential fallout from using the mosque-replicas, 39% disagreed, with 32% neutral or don’t knows.

29% agreed with the chairman of the Bradford Council for Mosques that the MoD’s actions reinforced existing negative perceptions of Muslims, implying that mosques were places of danger which were legitimate ‘targets’. The figure rose to 32% for women, 34% for those aged 18-34 and 35% for Londoners. 44% disagreed with the chairman, with 27% undecided.

In a subsequent online poll (12-14 April among 2,095 adults), YouGov asked respondents to imagine an alternative scenario, whereby a foreign defence ministry had used models of Christian churches on its firing ranges, to simulate the conditions of war in a Christian country.

Interestingly, opinion was more evenly divided in this case, 40% considering it would be wrong for the foreign defence ministry to do this (including 33% of men and 47% of women), and 42% finding nothing objectionable (57% of men and 27% of women).

In other words, 12% more of the population are worried about the use of replica churches on firing ranges than about the use of replica mosques. Perhaps this is another subtle manifestation of British Islamophobia?

This second YouGov poll can be found at:

http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/YG-Archives-Pope-12.04.pdf

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Pope Benedict on the Back Foot

Pope Benedict XVI has just celebrated the fifth anniversary of his accession to office, but his position is coming increasingly under fire in the wake of mounting revelations about the Roman Catholic Church’s complicity in the clerical abuse of children in the past.

No overall public opinion rating of the Pope appears to have been undertaken in Great Britain since we last reported on the matter on this website (‘What do we think of the Pope?’, 26 February 2010).

However, YouGov has inserted a couple of pertinent questions in its online survey of a representative sample of 2,095 adults aged 18 and over between 12 and 14 April 2010. You will find the detailed results, broken down by gender, age, social grade and region, at:

http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/YG-Archives-Pope-12.04.pdf

The first question asked Britons whether it was right for the Pope (when a Cardinal in 1985) to resist the immediate defrocking of a Californian priest with a criminal record of sexually molesting children on the grounds that ‘the good of the universal Church’ had to be taken into account.

91% of respondents condemned the Pope for taking this position and argued for immediate defrocking of a priest under such circumstances. Only 3% considered ‘the good of the universal Church’ was a relevant factor, with 7% don’t knows.

The second question alluded to efforts by Richard Dawkins and Christopher Hitchens, two prominent atheists, to get human rights lawyers to produce a legal case for charging the Pope, during the forthcoming papal visit to England and Scotland (16-19 September), over his alleged cover-up of sexual abuse in the Church.

Just 15% of the sample favoured the Pope being granted immunity from prosecution while in Britain (11% because the Vatican is a state and 4% because the Pope is a religious leader).

79% (with no great differences by demographic sub-groups) contended that the Pope should not have legal immunity (11% because they do not consider the Vatican to be a state and 68% because, whether a state or not, nobody should be above the law). The don’t knows again amounted to 7%.

The 1982 papal visit to Britain by Pope John Paul II excited a fair bit of controversy, but this year’s visit by Pope Benedict XVI looks set to stir up even more hostility. Not only does the scandal of child abuse in the Church look set to run and run, but secularists and humanists are clearly on the offensive (see our post ‘Cyber warfare breaks out over the papal visit to Britain’, 15 March 2010), elements of the Church of England have been stung by the Pope’s surprise announcement of self-governing ordinariates for former Anglicans, while the ‘no popery’ tradition of British Protestantism is not entirely extinguished.

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