The RELACHS Study

It’s been a little while since I made a post here, having spent some time fixing other parts of the site. But I’ll make a dip back into the BRIN blog by flagging up the RELACHS survey.

RELACHS is not yet listed in the BRIN database, either because it’s a community survey (which are not generally in scope) or because at first sight it wasn’t a specifically religious survey. The research team are epidemiology and mental health specialists, with the East London and City Health Authority funding the first phase. It’s a longitudinal study of young people in East London, based in schools in Hackney, Tower Hamlets and Newham. The first wave was run in 2001, with 30 schools taking part, involving 2,800 students from years 7 (11-12) and 9 (13-14). The second phase followed up the students in 2003, and the third followed up the students aged 11-12 in 2001 in 2005, when they were 15 and 16.

However, the geographic area surveyed is highly diverse in ethnic and religious terms, and the questionnaires included items on religious identity, frequency of religious practice, experience of religiously or racially-motivated bullying, and on issues such as sexual behaviour and traditional dress. Researchers interested in the relationship between religiosity and health – mental health, obesity, alcohol use – will find the published outputs very useful.

For example, DCSF sponsored a paper reporting the religious and cultural factors assocaited with adolescent sexual behaviour, available here:

http://www.dcsf.gov.uk/research/data/uploadfiles/rw42d.pdf

The questionnaires and summaries of findings to date can be found on the RELACHS website at http://www.relachs.org

The published outputs so far seem very interesting, crossing the boundary between sociology and epidemiology. However, there is undoubtedly more to be gleaned, particularly by researchers interested in youth religiosity. It’s not clear whether the data have been archived yet for use by other researchers – I’ll post here when I learn more.

Posted in Measuring religion, Other, Survey news | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Atlas of Global Christianity

2010 marks the centenary of the World Missionary Conference, Edinburgh, 1910. It will be celebrated by several conferences (both academic and missionary) and by a number of major publications.

Edinburgh 1910 was not just a significant event in the history of Christian missions. It is also conventionally regarded as the start of the modern ecumenical movement.

Perhaps less well-known in the context of British Religion in Numbers is that Edinburgh 1910 was accompanied by the publication of a Statistical Atlas of Christian Missions, which laid the foundation for a whole series of cartographic and quantitative works which have been important in the development of religious statistics. These are listed in section 2.10 of Clive Field’s Religious Statistics in Great Britain: An Historical Introduction, available on this website.

To commemorate the centenary, Edinburgh University Press has recently released Atlas of Global Christianity, 1910-2010, edited by Todd Johnson and Kenneth Ross, xix + 361pp. plus CD-ROM (ISBN: 0748632670 and 9780748632671). The full price of this hardback is £150, but it is available more cheaply from a number of online suppliers.

Johnson is Director of the Center for the Study of Global Christianity at Gordon-Conwell Theological Seminary. He is the co-author (with David Barrett and George Kurian) of the second edition of the World Christian Encyclopedia (2001) and of World Christian Trends (2001). He is also editor of the World Christian Database (http://www.worldchristiandatabase.org), published by Brill.

Ross is Council Secretary of the Church of Scotland World Mission Council and Honorary Fellow of the School of Divinity, University of Edinburgh. Since 2001 he has chaired the Scottish Towards 2010 Council.

Atlas of Global Christianity, 1910-2010 is a compilation of full-colour maps, graphs, tables, essays and other reference materials on Christianity contributed by a team of 64 experts, together with background information on world issues and other world religions. The CD-ROM contains all the visuals in exportable format, to facilitate use for teaching.

The volume charts the history (over the last hundred years) and current state both of Christianity in general and of Christian mission and evangelism. It effectively visualizes the shift in the epicentre of Christianity, from the ‘Global North’ to the ‘Global South’, which has occurred during the course of the twentieth century.

Although there are some country-specific data, much of the analysis is inevitably at the continental/sub-continental or denominational levels, incorporating a fair degree of numerical estimation.

Posted in Measuring religion | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Religious Attendance in Cross-National Perspective

Why are some countries more religious than others? A partial answer to this question is provided by two Dutch sociologists, Stijn Ruiter and Frank van Tubergen, in a very recent (notwithstanding the November 2009 cover date) article in the American Journal of Sociology, Vol. 115, No. 3, pp. 863-95, and entitled ‘Religious Attendance in Cross-National Perspective: A Multilevel Analysis of 60 Countries’.

The authors use data from 60 of the 82 countries included in three of the waves of the European/World Values Surveys, conducted between 1990 and 2001. They cover 136,600 respondents in all, including Britons.

Multilevel logistic regression techniques are applied to these data to test eleven hypotheses derived from four theories of religious change (including secularization) and which potentially bear on differential levels of religious attendance. The discussion is sophisticated but also somewhat technical and heavy going.

Ruiter and van Tubergen conclude that three-quarters of the cross-national variation in religious attendance is explained ‘by personal and societal insecurities and by parental and national religious socialization and level of urbanization’.

Attendance rates were found to be particularly high in countries with more socio-economic inequalities and lower social welfare expenditure. Less surprisingly, people living in urban areas worship less frequently than rural residents, while those brought up in religious societies attend services more than those reared in secular nations.

More generally, the World Values Survey website – http://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/ – is an excellent resource, enabling files to be downloaded from, and online analysis to be conducted on, all the surveys which have been undertaken since 1981. It includes data from the three principal British surveys to have been published to date, with fieldwork in 1981, 1990 and 1999.

Posted in Measuring religion | Tagged , | 1 Comment

British Social Attitudes Survey, 2008

British Social Attitudes: The 26th Report by Alison Park and others was published by Sage on 26 January 2010 (£50, ISBN 9781849203876). It comprises a series of essays based upon the findings of the 2008 British Social Attitudes survey, conducted among a representative sample of adult Britons aged 18 and over. The survey has been undertaken by what is now NatCen annually since 1983 (except in 1988 and 1992), on behalf of a range of public-sector and third-sector clients and funders. A combination of face-to-face interviews and self-completion questionnaires is used.

As in 1991 and 1998 (when they formed a module of the International Social Survey Program), the 2008 British Social Attitudes survey included a large number of religion-related questions, especially funded by the Economic and Social Research Council, the John Templeton Foundation and NORFACE. These underpinned two of the chapters in the published report, both written by members of the British Religion in Numbers project team at the Institute for Social Change, University of Manchester.

The first chapter is by David Voas and Rodney Ling on ‘Religion in Britain and the United States’ (pp. 65-86), for which a press release will be found at:  

http://www.natcen.ac.uk/pzMedia/uploads/EntityFieldFile/dae358b5-1486-4b9e-8119-2c917c05780d.doc

NatCen’s official summary of this chapter reads: ‘There has been a sharp decline in religious faith in Britain, while in America people are much less likely to be atheist or agnostic. Despite this difference, people in Britain and America hold similar views about the place of religion in society. Most people are pragmatic: religion has personal and social benefits, but faith should not be taken too far. From politics to private life, many domains are seen as off limits to clerical involvement. Our research also revealed that just over half of people in Britain (52%) fear that the UK is deeply divided along religious lines and are particularly concerned about Islam compared with other faiths.’

The other chapter is by Siobhan McAndrew on ‘Religious Faith and Contemporary Attitudes’ (pp. 87-113), which is summarized as follows: ‘People who are religious hold more traditional attitudes towards family and personal relationships. Half of religious people believe that homosexual sex is always or almost always wrong compared with one in five of unreligious people. One in five religious people agree that it is the man’s job to earn money and the woman’s job to stay at home and look after the home and family compared with one in ten of the unreligious.’

These two chapters by no means exhaust the religion-related potential of the 2008 British Social Attitudes Survey, as will become clear when the dataset is released for secondary analysis by the Economic and Social Data Service. Meanwhile, a glimpse of the relevant subjects and topline results can be found in the questionnaire, which is available at:

http://www.natcen.ac.uk/pzMedia/uploads/Downloadable/d1f738cd-0dab-4858-a771-505eda40de3d.pdf

See, in particular: face-to-face questionnaire, Q656-Q844, Q1111-1119; self-completion questionnaire version A, Q8-Q34; and self-completion questionnaire version C, Q17-Q34. The total number of respondents for the 2008 survey was 4,486, although many questions were only posed to sub-samples.

Posted in Measuring religion, Survey news | Tagged | 2 Comments

Global Religious Trends to 2020

Anybody using British religious statistics in a comparative context may find a new discussion paper by Peter Brierley (head of Brierley Consultancy) of interest.

It is entitled Global Religious Trends, 2010 to 2020 and has been prepared for this year’s Third Lausanne Congress on World Evangelization, being held in Cape Town. The 57 page paper is available (price £12, inclusive of postage) from Dr Peter Brierley, 1 Thorpe Avenue, Tonbridge, Kent, TN10 4PW.

The paper examines ten key secular and religious trends which will impact upon global Christianity during the coming decade and seeks to quantify them. The secular trends include those of ageing, immigration, family and technology. Key elements of the religious scene include the static number of Christians overall (relative to population), combined with a growing proportion of Evangelical Christians and Muslims.

There is a particularly interesting account of the ‘tribes’ of evangelicalism, largely informed by a new analysis of data from Christian Research’s English Church censuses (the latest from 2005).

Otherwise, there are few specifically British statistics. Global data are used wherever practicable, disaggregated by continent. Major sources include the World Religion Database and the World Values Surveys (the latter particularly for churchgoing).

Naturally, the usual caveats apply to the quality of some of the forecast data, not least those which are projected as far forward as 2050.

Posted in Measuring religion | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Churchgoing and the Weather

The most adverse winter for thirty years, currently being experienced in the United Kingdom, will doubtless take its toll on levels of church attendance, not least given the relatively elderly profile of most mainstream Christian denominations. We shall probably never know for sure, since those Churches which make annual returns of their worshippers mostly do so on the basis of counts during the autumn.

One small clue to the impact of bad weather on churchgoing comes from a census taken in the Dunfermline Presbytery of the Church of Scotland in 2009 (and to be repeated this year). This is the subject of a short feature by Peter Brierley in the February 2010 issue of FutureFirst, the bimonthly magazine of Brierley Consultancy. A more detailed report on the 2009 Dunfermline census, including breaks by gender and age, may be obtained from Rev Allan Vint at mission@dunfermlinepresbytery.org.uk

The Dunfermline census was conducted over two Sundays. The first, 8 March 2009, ‘proved to be a day of adverse weather conditions which resulted in particularly poor attendance for almost every church’. The census was therefore repeated on 15 March, when the number of worshippers was 7 per cent higher than the week before.

There are also some scattered historical data about the effects of bad weather on churchgoing, especially from 30 March 1851 when there was a Government census of religious worship throughout Great Britain, an exercise which has never been repeated. The day was mostly wet and stormy, as confirmed by extant meteorological readings. Comparison between the statistics for census day and average attendances reveals the former to be significantly lower, particularly in rural areas. In Shropshire, for example, general congregations were reduced by 22 per cent below the norm for places of worship which expressly commented on the state of the weather on 30 March.

Other local counts of church attendance from the late Victorian and Edwardian eras point in the same direction. In Cheltenham congregations were again 22 per cent lower on 29 January 1882 (a very wet day) than on 5 February (a reasonably fine one). In West Cumberland the census of churchgoing was taken on 14 December 1902, an exceedingly stormy day, which, in this predominantly rural area with indifferent transport and roads, apparently reduced congregations by up to two-thirds.

However, the evidence is by no means consistent. At Bradford a census taken on 11 December 1881, immediately after heavy snow, did not produce an appreciably smaller turnout at church and chapel than a replication on 18 December, when the weather was somewhat better, especially in the morning. Similarly, in Carnarvon attendances on a bitterly cold day (26 January 1908) were just 7 per cent below those on a warm sunny one (5 July), the same difference between two Sundays as for Dunfermline in 2009.

Hitherto, there has been little discussion of the topic in the academic literature. One exception is Robin Gill, who has made a short study of the relationship between weather and church attendance during the late nineteenth century (The ‘Empty’ Church Revisited, Aldershot: Ashgate, 2003, pp. 20-3). He concludes that the weather did make a difference to churchgoing, but less than one might expect. Also, according to him, bad weather was more likely to reduce Free Church than Anglican attendances.

Posted in Measuring religion | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Anti-Semitic Incidents in the United Kingdom

The Community Security Trust (CST) has published its detailed (36 pages) Antisemitic Incidents Report, 2009. This is available on the Trust’s website at http://www.thecst.org.uk/docs/CST-incidents-report-09-for-web.pdf

The CST has been monitoring anti-Semitic incidents in the United Kingdom on an annual basis since 1984. A registered charity since 1994, the CST has 55 full-time staff and 3,000 volunteers who provide physical security, training and advice for the protection of British Jews; represent Jewry to Government and police in respect of matters affecting security and anti-Semitism; and assist victims of anti-Semitism.

924 anti-Semitic incidents were recorded by the CST in the United Kingdom in 2009, the highest annual total since statistics commenced, and 55 per cent more than the previous high of 598 incidents in 2006. This 924 represents an increase of 69 per cent on the 2008 figure of 546 and follows two years in which incidents had fallen.

The main reason for this new peak of incidents is the unprecedented number recorded in January and February 2009 (288 and 114 respectively), during and after the conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. The level of incidents did not return to something like a ‘normal’ figure until April. 23 per cent of all incidents during the year included a reference to Gaza.

The majority (605) incidents in 2009 were categorized as involving abusive behaviour, followed by 121 instances of assault, both being the highest ever recorded figures. The remaining types of anti-Semitism were: damage and desecration (89), literature (62), threats (44) and extreme violence (3).

There was a close correlation between the number of incidents and areas of Jewish concentration, with 460 incidents being reported for Greater London, 206 for Greater Manchester and 258 from more than 70 other locations throughout the country.

In addition to the 924 confirmed anti-Semitic incidents in 2009, CST investigated a further 489 cases which it ultimately judged not to be anti-Semitic in nature.

The 2009 report includes, at page 35, monthly incident figures for 1999-2009. Detailed reports for 2005-08 inclusive are also available on the CST website.

Posted in Measuring religion, Survey news | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

New Church of England statistics

The Church of England published two new sets of statistics on 22 January.

The first were its provisional statistics for mission in 2008, covering baptisms (infant, child and adult), thanksgivings (infant and child), confirmations, marriages and blessings, funerals, Easter and Christmas communicants and all age attendance, typical monthly church attendance (adult and children/young people) and electoral roll membership. Trend data are provided back to 2002. Weekly church attendance and electoral roll statistics are disaggregated by diocese. All these data may be found at:

http://www.cofe.anglican.org/info/statistics/2008provisionalattendance.pdf

An accompanying press release leads on the attendance figures, which show that 1,700,000 people attend Church of England services each month and 1,100,000 each week, either on Sunday or on a weekday. Total attendances in an average week were down 1 per cent on 2007, although there was a 3 per cent increase in the under-16s. Churchgoing grew in 14 of the 44 dioceses. Commenting on the results, Rev Lynda Barley (the Church’s Head of Research and Statistics) contextualized the data within declining participation in all organizations, noting especially the fall in membership of political parties. The press release is available at:

http://www.cofe.anglican.org/news/pr1310.html

The second set of statistics is contained in a report entitled Celebrating Diversity in the Church of England, which is on the agenda for next month’s meeting of the Church’s General Synod. This is based on a gender, age and ethnic diversity audit of a cross-section (one in eight parishes) of the Church’s adult congregations undertaken in September-December 2007, in response to the 2003 report, Called to Act Justly. It follows a comparable survey of clergy diversity in 2005. The proportion of ethnic minority worshippers was 5 per cent, with 65 per cent women and 69 per cent aged 55 and over. The full report is published at:

http://www.cofe.anglican.org/about/gensynod/agendas/feb2010/gsmisc/gsmisc938.doc

Posted in Measuring religion, Survey news | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Religious Census 1851 Online

For interested historians: the Census of Religious Worship of 1851 has been digitised and is available from two sources.

First, there is the Online Historical Population Reports Website. The Report is indexed and can be viewed page-by-page, with each page downloadable in high-resolution TIFF or lower resolution PNG format. See http://www.histpop.org/ohpr/servlet/

Second, there is the Google digitisation project: the full document of the Census Report is available as a single PDF file, and in other formats. Click here to explore!http://www.archive.org/details/censusgreatbrit00manngoog

Posted in Measuring religion, Official data | Tagged , | 2 Comments