God Trumped by Aliens – and Other News

God Trumped by Aliens

More people believe in the existence of life on other planets (53%) than believe in God (44%, which is a lower proportion than in other polls, possibly explained by a difference in question-wording). Only Northern Ireland bucks the trend; here belief in aliens stands at 30%. One-fifth think unidentified flying objects (UFOs) have landed on earth, and one-tenth claim to have seen one (more so among men than women). A staggering 52% contend that evidence of UFOs has been covered up in order not to compromise the stability of government.

Source: Survey by Opinion Matters conducted online among a representative sample of 1,359 UK adults, and on behalf of 2k Games, publishers of the new alien-themed videogame XCOM: Enemy Unknown, where the task is to save the world from enemy invasion. Full data are not in the public domain (although BRIN has requested them), and details for this post have been taken from coverage in various online media following the launch of the product on 12 October.

Religion and Ageing

Religious affiliation remains at a relatively high level among the over-50s, although (as with most religious indicators) it is greater among women (89%) than men (79%). There is also variation by age, the proportion with no religion falling steadily from the 55-59 cohort (27% of men and 20% of women) to those aged 80 and over (13% and 5% respectively). Wealth likewise makes a difference, both men and women in the lower wealth groups being more likely to espouse a religion than those in higher wealth groups; in the highest wealth group the number with no religion stands at 27% of men and 17% of women. The religion reported is overwhelmingly Christian, with non-Christians amounting to only 3% of older men and 2% of women.

Moreover, those over-50s who actively practise their faith by attending religious services have somewhat enhanced levels of psychological well-being compared with those who never attend worship. This effect, which is statistically significant, is reflected in ‘less depression, greater affective well-being, higher eudemonic well-being and greater life satisfaction’. Frequency of attendance (‘“dose-response” effects’) is not necessarily material: ‘participants who reported attending religious services a few times a year had similar levels of psychological well-being on several measures to those who were regular attenders’. In the case of life satisfaction, mean scores are 19.8 for non-attenders, 20.9 for those worshipping a few times a year, and 21.4 for those attending two or three times a month or more often.

Source: Wave 5 of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), in which 10,274 English adults aged 52 and over were surveyed by NatCen between July 2010 and June 2011, through a combination of face-to-face interview and self-completion questionnaire. The dataset is available at the Economic and Social Data Service as SN 5050. The report, The Dynamics of Ageing, edited by James Banks, James Nazroo and Andrew Steptoe, was published by the Institute for Fiscal Studies on 15 October 2012. Tables 4A.81-85 (pp. 175-7) and S3a-b (p. 271) are especially relevant for BRIN users. The document can be downloaded from: 

http://www.ifs.org.uk/elsa/report12/elsaW5-1.pdf

Challenges to the Christian Journey

Male and female Christians face somewhat different challenges in their faith journey, according to a recent poll of regular churchgoers. For men the top six (out of thirteen) hurdles are perceived to be: societal pressure to behave in certain ways (50%), work-life balance (47%), pornography (39%), financial pressures (38%), integrity in the workplace (36%), and materialism (35%). For women the greatest challenge is considered to be family life problems (54%, 22% more than is thought to affect men), followed by work-life balance (51%), societal pressure to behave in certain ways (50%), media portrayal of women (45% – twice the difficulty of media portrayal of men), materialism (30%), and sexual pressures (27%).

Pornography comes last on the list of challenges said to be faced by women; at 3%, it is deemed to be an insignificant problem compared with the thirteen-fold greater temptation for Christian men. Interestingly, more male churchgoers (43%) than female (34%) think pornography is an issue for men, although there is an even greater difference by age, 62% of the 18-34s citing pornography as a male problem against 25% of the over-65s. Denominationally, members of New Churches (63%) and Pentecostals (48%) are most exercised by the snare of pornography for men, albeit the sub-samples are small. Pornography causes far more angst than alcohol and drugs, the latter combination said by 15% to be a challenge for men and 6% for women.

Source: Online survey of 510 churchgoing Christians in the UK, conducted by ComRes for Premier Christian Media via Cpanel between 14 and 28 September 2012. Full data tables published on 23 October at: 

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Premier_Men_and_Women_Christian_Journey_04Oct2012.pdf

Halloween

There are signs that the commercialization of Halloween, the curious hybrid of paganism and a Christian feast of the dead (All Hallows’ Eve, on 31 October), may have peaked. Despite the best (and hitherto very successful) efforts of the superstore chains to manufacture a Halloween market, its value may have dipped this year. It is anticipated that UK consumers will spend £268 million on Halloween-related products in 2012 (including £78 million on dressing up), which is less than Planet Retail’s estimates of the size of the Halloween market in 2011 (£315 million) and 2010 (£280 million). The biggest spenders on Halloween are younger adults and those with families.

Although 53% of UK adults agree that Halloween is a ‘fun event for kids’, 45% dismiss it as an ‘unwelcome American cultural import’ and 33% fail to see the funny side of trick or treating. Only 23% claim that they will participate in a Halloween activity in 2012, 6% fewer than expect to take part in a Bonfire Night event. In terms of specific Halloween activities, 4% of adults plan to go trick or treating with children, 7% to dress up their children, 6% to dress up themselves, 7% to attend a party, 4% to host a party, and 8% to carve a pumpkin. Pumpkin-carving is forecast to be down significantly in 2012, doubtless because prices of the fruit have risen as a consequence of the poor weather.

Source: Online survey by YouGov among 2,167 UK adults aged 16 and over, undertaken between 1 and 8 October 2012. Part of a business intelligence report on Halloween and Bonfire Night by YouGov’s Sixth Sense arm, which costs £1,750. This is a bit beyond the means of BRIN, so we have been unable to view the full data. However, there was a press release on 24 October about the research, and that is freely available at:

http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/x6n5fpfblc/Bonfire%20Night%20Halloween%20press%20release.pdf

 

 

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Some Historical Religious Statistics

Although much of BRIN’s focus, and probably the majority of our reader interest, lies in the area of contemporary British religious statistics, we continue to delve into historical data and will periodically feature them in our posts. Here are three such stories.

1851 Religious Census

The 1851 religious census is one of the most important statistical sources for nineteenth-century Britain. It is also unique – the only time that Government has attempted to survey accommodation and attendance at all places of worship in Britain (the 2001 and 2011 censuses, by contrast, were of religious profession in connection with the household schedules of the decennial population census). Genealogist Chris Paton has a brief account of ‘The 1851 Religious Census’ in the current issue (No. 33, October 2012, pp. 42-5) of Your Family History magazine. Although this is fairly basic, several useful URLs are cited, one leading to the digitized edition of the original manuscript returns for each church or chapel in 1851, arranged by the 623 English and Welsh registration districts, and held at The National Archives (TNA) as Home Office Papers 129. TNA has now made all these documents available for free download as part of its Digital Microfilm Project. This will be an especially useful resource for the one-half of English counties whose returns have yet to be the subject of a modern printed scholarly edition (Wales has already been fully covered in this regard). To access the digital images, go to:  

http://discovery.nationalarchives.gov.uk/SearchUI/Collection/Display?uri=C8993-

Religion and the First World War

Publicity is already beginning to crank up to commemorate the centenary of the outbreak of the First World War in 1914. As part of a series of essays exploring how particular micro-periods in modern British history have impacted upon Britain’s secularization trajectory, Clive Field has been examining the impact of the Great War on religious belonging on the home front, measured in terms of ‘membership‘ of organized religion and attendance at its worship services. This is a neglected area of research, compared to recent scholarly attention on ‘trench religion’, the beliefs and practices of the fighting men (often as reflected in reports from their chaplains). Field’s investigations are by no means complete, but here are some preliminary findings.

Adult ‘membership’ of faith bodies in Britain at the end of the war in 1918 was probably around 8,010,000, comprising 2,330,000 Anglican communicants, 3,740,000 members of the Free Churches and sects, and estimates of the adult share of the Roman Catholic and non-Christian communities (1,726,000 and 214,000 respectively). Omitted from these figures are non-communicating adult worshippers of the Anglican Churches (in England, Wales, and Scotland) and non-member adherents of the Free Churches, as well as children and young people (including Sunday scholars). The total of 8,010,000 equates to around 29% of the estimated adult civilian population of Britain in 1918 (compared with 27% of the whole adult population in 1914). Despite the minimal net change, the underlying picture was more complex. Anglican communicants fell by 6% between 1914 and 1917, before rising in 1918, the upward trend being maintained in the immediate post-war years. Free Church membership rose by 1% during the war, but this was largely due to the Scottish and Welsh Presbyterians, the Salvation Army, and to several of the smaller and newer sectarian groups. Some of the ‘historic’ denominations, particularly Methodists and Baptists, contracted, although there was a brief recovery between 1921 and 1927. The Roman Catholic population (including children) rose by 3% from 1914 to 1918 and the Jewish community by 7%, while British Islam’s fortunes were swelled by a substantial immigration of Muslim labour from the British Empire during the war (to work as seamen, in munitions, chemicals, and unskilled shore jobs allied to shipping).

In all Christian traditions church attendance surged for a few weeks at the outset of the conflict, as people identified with the justness of Britain’s cause and sought solace in and guidance from the Churches. Churchgoers also disproportionately voluntarily enlisted in the armed forces, fusing religion and patriotism. However, as the war dragged on, and the military casualties and domestic sacrifices mounted, regular attendance by Protestants fell away (Roman Catholic mass attendance seems to have kept up, partly because of the large presence of Belgian war refugees, who were overwhelmingly Catholic). It perhaps did not do so catastrophically (for it had not been a majority practice in 1914) but certainly significantly (especially for men and children, albeit the falling birth-rate affected the latter). The decline was partly a continuation of pre-war trends yet doubtless in larger measure because of the various practical impacts of the war on society, which channelled human and other resources away from religious organizations and disrupted their work. Of these, the absence of more than one million regularly churchgoing men on active service was perhaps the single key factor. There was also some disillusionment with the Churches for failing to prevent or shorten the war, and a search for alternative forms of spiritual expression, not least Spiritualism.

Long-Living Methodists Revisited

One of the most widely-read posts on BRIN to date has been that about ‘Long-Living Methodists’, on 24 June 2010, in which Clive Field summarized the then available evidence about the apparently greater longevity of Methodists compared with other groups. He has recently returned to the subject in far greater depth in ‘Demography and the Decline of British Methodism: III. Mortality’, Proceedings of the Wesley Historical Society, Vol. 58, No. 6, October 2012, pp. 247-63.

This new article presents the findings about mean ages of death of persons buried in Methodist cemeteries in West Yorkshire and Cornwall between 1821 and 2000; of laity whose deaths were reported in the family announcement columns of the Methodist Recorder in 1938 and 2007-11; and of male Methodist ministers dying between 1851 and 1930, in 1932-36 and 2007-11. The analysis suggests that mean ages of death seem to have been lower in the general population of England and Wales than for Methodists, and for both sexes. The principal explanation for this apparently greater longevity of Methodists over non-Methodists is almost certainly differential class mortality, mean age of death being conditioned by occupational status and all the socio-economic circumstances associated with it. Methodism’s increasing concentration in Registrar General classes II and III (intermediate non-manual, skilled non-manual and skilled manual workers) must have helped to drive up the mean ages of death of Methodists relative to society as a whole. However, many Methodists have claimed that there were also religious forces at play, with their reputation for modest and prudential living and the avoidance of excess having clear health dividends, in their opinion. The Methodist Church’s longstanding commitment to the temperance cause is the most obvious and best-known manifestation of such behaviour, albeit the proportion of total abstainers among Methodist members probably never exceeded one-half, and Methodism’s contribution to the potentially more important (in health terms) non-smoking movement was relatively weak.

The same article also reviews Methodist mortality in terms of church membership data. These are examined from three different perspectives, all pointing to the fact that death has become an increasingly important feature of the numerical decline of British Methodism. The trend emerged around the time of the First World War but has been very pronounced since the 1970s. The Methodist mortality rate is now almost three times the national average. As mentioned above, this is not because Methodist life expentancy is falling, or lower than normal. The mortality rate is rising because Methodists are progressively ageing, and thus moving into cohorts which are more likely to die, making their population pyramid top-heavy. It also arises from the fact that Methodism is much less successful at recruiting new members – whether from the ‘outside world’, other denominations or retaining its own children – to compensate for its losses through death. At one level, therefore, Methodism is literally ‘dying out’.

But this is not the complete demographic picture, as the two earlier articles in the same journal make clear (‘I. Nutiality’ in Vol. 58, No. 4, February 2012, pp. 175-89, and ‘II. Fertility’ in Vol. 58, No. 5, May 2012, pp. 200-15). The reduced fertility of Methodist families during the twentieth century was a factor in inhibiting the Methodist Church from sustaining its numbers. Although a very high proportion of Methodists have married, there has been some tendency, again for prudential reasons, to defer the actual age of marriage, thus potentially impacting fertility. Moreover, from the period after the First World War (and officially sanctioned by the Methodist Church since the later 1930s) Methodists have been increasingly practising birth control, more so in the beginning than other denominations. This reproductive aspect of institutional decline, coupled with weakening transmission of the faith from parents to children, is undoubtedly worthy of further investigation, both in the Methodist and more general contexts.

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Anglican Themes – and Funeral Hymns

The cluster of news stories which have come to hand within the last four days mainly concern the Church of England, but a couple are also of wider interest:

Church of England Growth?

The Church of England launched a new website on 2 October 2012 as a showcase for its 18-month Church Growth Support Programme, which is exploring the factors relating to the spiritual and, particularly, numerical growth of the Church. A team from the Institute for Social and Economic Research at the University of Essex, led by Professor David Voas (co-director of BRIN), has been appointed to undertake the data analysis and church-profiling strands of the research. In addition to being able to track the progress of these and the other two strands, the website incorporates several other valuable features, albeit still under development, including: key Anglican statistics; guide to church growth literature; case studies of growing churches; and an interactive discussion board on church growth issues. The site can be accessed at:

http://www.churchgrowthresearch.org.uk/

Or Church of England Decline?

A hitherto little-reported aspect of the Church of England’s General Synod in July 2012 was part of a speech by Andreas Whittam Smith, First Church Estates’ Commissioner, touching on the adverse demography of the Church of England. On the assumption that the ageing of Anglican congregations continues, he forecast that the number of worshippers could fall to as little as 125,000 in 2057, unless corrective action could be taken. The story has been picked up by Peter Brierley, in articles in FutureFirst, No. 23, October 2012, p. 5 and in The Church of England Newspaper, 14 October 2012, p. E1. Projecting Anglican attendance figures forward on the basis of what is known of the age profiles of Sunday worshippers from the various English church censuses, Brierley’s charts also point to what some might term a ‘doomsday scenario’, with attenders under 30 years of age likely to decline by 80% between 2000 and 2030, compared with just one-quarter for the over-65s. On present trends, Brierley’s best estimates are that 300,000 will attend Anglican Sunday services by 2030 and 500,000 in an average week (Sunday and weekday combined). Under such circumstances, he suggests, some cathedrals might need to be ‘decommissioned’ and 9,000 of the current 16,000 churches could close.

Church of England Cathedrals

Brierley’s gloomy long-term prognostications for English cathedrals are somewhat at variance with the upbeat tone of Spiritual Capital: the Present and Future of English Cathedrals, which was prepared and published (on 12 October 2012) by Theos and the Grubb Institute, and commissioned by the Foundation for Church Leadership and the Association of English Cathedrals. The report is empirically underpinned by an online survey carried out by ComRes on 10-12 August 2012 among 1,749 English adults aged 18 and over, supplemented by local case studies of Canterbury, Durham, Lichfield, Leicester, Manchester, and Wells Cathedrals (comprising 1,933 quantitative and 257 qualitative interviews).

The national poll revealed that 27% of resident adults (i.e. excluding overseas visitors) claimed to have visited a Church of England cathedral at least once during the previous 12 months. This equates to 11,300,000 people, 20% more than the Church of England’s own estimate for visitors to its cathedrals in 2010, with the trend clearly downward since 2000 (this discrepancy is not commented on in the report). The profile of these self-identifying visitors is shown to be fairly broad in terms of standard demographics and religious background. Specifically, they include significant numbers of non-churchgoers, non-Christians, and those of no religion, thereby confirming that ‘cathedrals have a particular capacity to connect spiritually with those who are on or beyond the Christian “periphery”’ – hence the ‘spiritual capital’ of the title.

Of course, a contrary interpretation is that visitors often relate to the heritage and cultural functions of cathedrals as much as, if not more so, to their role as places of worship, and some of the ComRes poll evidence points in this direction. For example, only 13% disagreed with the statement that cathedrals are more of historical than spiritual importance, and 15% that they would go to one for its history and architecture rather than for any religious or spiritual experience. Likewise, just 17% would go to a cathedral to learn more about Christianity, and 22% for spiritual support. These reservations notwithstanding, Spiritual Capital can be recommended as an excellent source of data, not simply about visitor numbers, but about visitor motivations, experiences, and attitudes, together with wider reflections on the role of cathedrals in the Church and society. The report is at:

http://www.theosthinktank.co.uk/files/files/Reports/Spiritual%20Capital%2064pp%20-%20FINAL.pdf

and the full national polling data at:

http://www.theosthinktank.co.uk/files/files/Polling/Cathedrals%20Final%20Data%20PDF.pdf

Heritage Tourism

Despite the optimism of the Theos and Grubb Institute report, English cathedrals may actually have had a poor summer in terms of tourism, sharing in the general malaise of all leading visitor attractions caused by the prolonged wet weather and the disruptive effects of the Olympic Games. Figures released by the Association of Leading Visitor Attractions (ALVA) on 8 October 2012 indicated that the heritage and cathedrals group of attractions in London (among them, St Paul’s Cathedral and Westminster Abbey) reported a fall of visitor numbers of 20% comparing May-August 2012 with May-August 2011, while the decline in the rest of England was 6%. Retail spend at these attractions also decreased, by 20% in London and 9% elsewhere in the country. ALVA’s press release is at:

http://www.alva.org.uk/images/assets/84741_851645_121009.pdf

Additional information will doubtless become available when Visit England publishes, next year, Visitor Attractions Trends in England, 2012. The 2011 survey, released in July 2012, included returns from 102 places of worship, recording aggregate details of admissions, revenue, marketing, services, and employment. This 2011 report is at:

http://www.visitengland.org/insight-statistics/major-tourism-surveys/attractions/index.aspx

English Religious Beliefs

The Theos and Grubb Institute research into English cathedrals, discussed above, also collected a range of religious data about the respondents in the ComRes national survey, seemingly in an attempt to link cathedrals with what the report describes as ‘emergent spiritualities’. These data naturally have independent value. The number of adults claiming to ‘belong’ to a religion was 64%, 39% being Anglicans (two-thirds of them over 45), 16% other Christians, and 9% non-Christians; this left 34% professing no religion (rising to 46% of the 18-24s). Claimed attendance at religious services once a month or more was 15%, almost certainly an exaggeration. Firm belief in God (‘I know God exists and I have no doubts about it’) stood at just 19%, with 42% classified as atheists or agnostics; the remaining 39% fell into three categories in the ‘middle ground’ (including those believing in a higher power but not God). Belief in God as a universal life force was 40%, compared with belief in a human soul (60%), life after death (41%), angels (35%), the Resurrection of Jesus (31%), and reincarnation (26%). The number holding all six beliefs was just 12%, peaking at 20% in London. These figures have reduced somewhat over time. For instance, in Gallup’s Television and Religion survey in England in December 1963-January 1964 atheists and agnostics numbered 14% and 50% then believed in life after death. Even the number believing in a soul has dropped from the high of around 70% which was reached in several polls in the 2000s. BRIN has some time series on religious beliefs at:

http://www.brin.ac.uk/figures/#ChangingBelief

Funeral Music

Hymns are gradually being squeezed out of the musicological repertoire at funerals, according to research published by Co-Operative Funeralcare on 15 October 2012, and based on a study of 30,000 funerals conducted by the company (the UK’s largest funeral director) during the past year. In 2005 hymns accounted for 41% of all funeral music requests, but the proportion in 2012 has been reduced to 30%, less than half that of pop music requests. The imbalance might have been even worse, were it not for the fact that one-quarter of funeral homes have had to refuse to play a piece of music on the grounds of taste, usually because clergy conducting the ceremony felt the choice inappropriate. The most popular hymns, in order of frequency of requests, are currently Abide with Me, The Lord is My Shepherd, and All Things Bright and Beautiful. Co-Operative’s press release is at:

http://funeralcarenews.co-operative.coop/branch-news/funeral-survey-charts-the-demise-of-popular-hymns.html

 

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British Social Attitudes, 2011

The twenty-ninth report from the British Social Attitudes (BSA) Survey was published by NatCen Social Research on 17 September 2012, less than a year after the completion of the fieldwork (June-November 2011) on which it is based.

As usual, the 2011 BSA was undertaken through a combination of face-to-face interviews and self-completion questionnaires with adult Britons aged 18 and over. The full sample comprised 3,311 individuals, albeit some questions were put only to sub-samples.

Edited by Alison Park, Elizabeth Clery, John Curtice, Miranda Phillips and David Utting, the book-length report on British Social Attitudes, 29 is available for free download from:

http://www.bsa-29.natcen.ac.uk/media/13421/bsa29_full_report.pdf

The annotated questionnaire for the survey can be found at:

http://www.bsa-29.natcen.ac.uk/media/11241/annotated_questionnaire_2011.pdf

Although the dataset is not yet available through the Economic and Social Data Service, the 2011 data have already been loaded into the British Social Attitudes Information System, through whose website weighted results for each question can be viewed, disaggregated by demographics. Go to:

http://www.britsocat.com/Home

There was no special module on religion in the 2011 survey, but several questions of potential interest to BRIN users were included.

Asked whether they regarded themselves as belonging to any particular religion, 44% of adults replied in the negative. This was a lower proportion than in 2010 (50%) but much higher than when the question had first been put in 1983 (31%). It also represented a big increase on the 17% of 2011 interviewees who had not been brought up in any religion, suggesting that very many relinquish faith on transition to adulthood.

The number professing no religion varied substantially by age, peaking among the 18-24s (65%) and falling steadily to 18% among the over-75s. The age differential also largely explains the high of 57% for the never married and the low of 25% for the widowed. Gender was likewise significant, with 51% of men against 39% of women having no faith.

Regionally, Wales (historically a heartland of Nonconformity) reported the greatest incidence of irreligion (58%) and Greater London (formerly renowned for its poor religious allegiance but now boosted by religiously-minded immigrants) one of the lowest (42%). The Midlands, another centre of immigration, recorded 41%.

Very regular (once a week or more) attendance at religious services (other than for rites of passage) was claimed by 14%, almost certainly an exaggeration, while 58% said that they never attended public worship, just a modest rise on 53% in 1991. The picture is complicated by the fact that this question was apparently answered by very many, albeit not all, of those professing no religion.

In fact, 13% of the irreligious stated that they sometimes attended religious services. Anglicans had the highest total non-attendance (56%), with Roman Catholics on 28%, other Christians on 39%, and non-Christians on 29%. Men (65%) were more likely never to attend than women (54%). Variation by age cohort was between 54% and 65%, by marital status between 56% and 64%, and by region between 54% and 65%.

Other questions explored attitudes to Muslims. In the main (face-to-face) questionnaire, randomly-chosen sub-samples were asked for their views on three groups of migrants to Britain (labour migrants, student migrants, and family reunion migrants) originating from various geographical contexts, one of them being ‘Muslim countries like Pakistan’. 

An analysis of the results is given in the chapter on immigration (pp. 26-44) by Robert Ford, Gareth Morrell and Anthony Heath, which appears in British Social Attitudes, 29, especially on pp. 35-40. In respect of Muslims, public opinion was found to be more nuanced than has usually been assumed yet there remained some underlying prejudice.

Regarding labour migration, while 61% said that Muslim professionals filling jobs was good for Britain, only 17% said the same about unskilled Muslim labourers and even fewer (10%) about the same group searching for work. This professional/unskilled split was generic, but net support for Muslim migrants still tended to be less than from East Europe. Indeed, on several measures of the economic and cultural impact of migration there was a clear net preference for East Europeans over Muslims.

A similar trend was evident for student migration. Although the public was much more well-disposed to student migrants in general with good grades than bad grades, regardless of region of origin, net support for students with good grades from Muslim countries was smaller than from the other three geographical clusters, and net opposition to student migrants with bad grades was slightly higher for those from Muslim countries than West Europe or East Asia.

The pattern was repeated for family reunion migration, with which the public is unhappy overall. At 57%, net opposition to migrants from Muslim countries bringing their family to live in Britain for three years was very much greater than for family reunion migration from West Europe. The disparity remained when the period of settlement was extended to ten years, albeit family reunion migration from Africa was then perceived somewhat more negatively than from Muslim countries. 

Version C of the self-completion questionnaire, put to one-third of the sample, explored another dimension of anti-Muslim prejudice, asking respondents how comfortable they would be if a close relative married or otherwise entered into a relationship with a person who grew up in a Muslim country. Answers were recorded on a scale running from 0 to 10.

23% of respondents were very uncomfortable (0 or 1) about this prospect and 22% very comfortable (9 0r 10). Least discomfort was felt by the 18-24s (10%) and Scots (14%). Most discomfort was manifested by the over-65s (including 38% for the 65-74s), with age also probably contributing to highs for those with no educational qualifications (44%) and the widowed (38%).

The 2011 BSA findings on religious affiliation were highlighted in the notes for editors section of a BBC press release on 12 September concerning the Corporation’s RE:THINK 2012 Religion and Ethics Festival, hosted in Salford recently.

In connection with the Festival, the BBC commissioned its own research from TNS BMRB among 585 16- to 24-year-olds, interviewed face-to-face between 15 and 21 August 2012.

Asked to rank the most important moral issue for them, having religious faith or beliefs featured in equal penultimate place in a list of eight options, scoring just 4% compared with 59% of the young who selected looking after family. Moreover, religion was considered the least important moral issue by 32% of respondents.

The BBC press release can be found at:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/latestnews/2012/rethink-poll.html

 

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Eastertide Anglican News

The Church of England issued two statistics-related press releases in the run-up to Easter, the first (on 3 April 2012) concerning the 2011 headline mission statistics for its cathedrals under the heading ‘Cathedral Attendance Statistics Enjoy over a Decade of Growth’. With a link to a five-page detailed report, this can be viewed at:

http://churchofengland.org/media-centre/news/2012/03/cathedral-attendance-statistics-enjoy-over-a-decade-of-growth.aspx

The release majored on the fact that attendance at regular weekly services in Anglican cathedrals had steadily risen since the turn of the millennium, cumulatively by 30%, although there was a 1% fall between 2010 and 2011, entirely due to a reduction in under-16s worshipping on Sundays. Midweek attendance, by both adults and children, in 2011 was at its highest level since records began in 2000.

Christmas and Easter attendances generally showed stability during the decade. While Christmas congregations were 17% up in 2011 over 2010, this was probably due to the weather being much better in 2011, and to Christmas Day falling on a Sunday that year. The increase for Advent was 14%, with the absolute figure fractionally under the decennial peak in 2008.

Turnout at Christmas was incomparably (almost three times) better than at Easter. There were 2% fewer Easter Eve/Day attendants in 2011 than in 2001 and 3% fewer communicants. 2006 and 2007 were the best years for Easter Day/Eve worshippers at cathedrals. Overall Holy Week congregations in 2011 were 4% below 2010.

The report also contains figures for cathedral-related rites of passage, specially arranged services, public or civic events, educational activities, and volunteers and visitors. Including Westminster Abbey and other Royal Peculiars, there were an estimated 12 million visitors to English cathedrals in 2011, much the same as for 2010, albeit there has been some decline since 2001.

The report naturally cannot address the extent to which changes in all the cathedral numbers reflect shifts in allegiance from parish churches to cathedrals. In other words, has there been genuine growth in cathedrals, or has it been a case of robbing Peter to pay Paul?

The second press release (5 April 2012) highlighted the findings of an online poll of 2,000 adults, conducted for the Church of England by ICM Research between 30 March and 1 April. Only one question was asked: ‘Irrespective of whether you currently pray or not, if you were to pray for something at the moment, what would it be for?’ 85% of respondents expressed a desire to pray for something, the most popular answers being:

  • A family member – 26%
  • Peace in the world – 25%
  • Healing for another – 20%
  • Less stress in my life – 17%
  • An end to world poverty – 16%
  • Guidance – 15%
  • Thankfulness – 15%
  • My partner – 14%
  • Prosperity – 14%
  • A friend – 13%
  • Healing for myself – 12%
  • Marriage or relationship – 11%
  • Forgiveness – 10%
  • Work – 8%
  • My spiritual life – 7%
  • My studies – 4%
  • My church – 4%

The survey was commissioned by the Church of England to commemorate the prayer of Jesus Christ in the Garden of Gethsemane, and to promote awareness of the prayoneforme website and Facebook page. The press release can be read at:

http://churchofengland.org/media-centre/news/2012/04/church-asks-‘what-would-you-pray-for-with-jesus-in-the-garden-of-gethsemane’-as-survey-finds-85-per-cent-have-things-they-would-pray-for.aspx

 

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Holy Saturday Polls

Spending time with family and friends is the most important part of Easter for 43% of Britons, followed by having a break from work (18%) and only thirdly the festival’s religious meaning (17%), with the exchanging of Easter eggs trailing at 2%.

So finds a YouGov poll for The Sun, in which a representative sample of 1,742 adults aged 18 and over was interviewed online. The full data tabulations will doubtless be posted on the internet after Easter, but The Sun’s article can be viewed at:

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/features/4243643/What-does-Easter-really-mean-to-you.html

79% of respondents had no plans to go to church over the Easter period, 16% thought they might (three-quarters of them on Easter Sunday), with 5% uncertain. It is likely that the good intentions of many of the 16% may well not translate into reality.

Weddings and funerals excluded, 12% claimed to be regular (monthly or more) churchgoers ordinarily, with 20% going very occasionally and 66% never or less than once a year.

19% said that they prayed on a daily or near-daily basis, 23% infrequently, and 54% never or less than once a year. 31% believed that prayer actually works, but 24% were unsure, and 45% adamant that it was ineffective.

76% claimed to know the Lord’s Prayer, while 21% did not. This compares with 55% of children aged 6-12 interviewed for BBC Newsround recently, far fewer than the 92% of adults who recalled knowing the prayer when a child forty years before.

87% considered Britain to be less religious than fifty years ago.

56% of Britons agreed that people should have the right to wear religious symbols at work, currently the matter of heated public debate and several legal cases. Only 11% disagreed, with 24% feeling that it is for employers to decide, and 9% uncertain.

There was less outright support for religious assemblies in schools. 31% thought that all schools should have them and 16% that they should not be allowed to, the largest group (48%) wanting schools to be able to decide for themselves. 5% expressed no opinion.

Commenting upon the YouGov results, David Meara (Archdeacon of London) writes: ‘This is a fairly accurate picture of the spiritual condition of our society – a mixture of increasing secularism with a desire for meaning and depth to existence.’

Meanwhile, another Easter-related poll released today is from Travelodge, in which 5,000 Britons were interviewed. Among the findings were:

  • four-tenths were not interested in the religious side of Easter
  • 28% expected to observe Good Friday as a fast day
  • 82% did not plan to attend church this weekend (much the same as in YouGov’s study)
  • 53% of children did not know the meaning of Easter, and one-quarter reckoned it is about celebrating the Easter bunny’s birthday

No details of the survey appear on the Travelodge website as yet (press and marketing folk in many companies are notoriously slow at posting press releases online, if they ever do), but there has been a small amount of news coverage. See, for example:

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/313118/Half-of-kids-say-Easter-s-for-bunnies

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/view/244410/Easter-break-is-just-for-Bunny-s-birthday/

 

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Swindon Churches Audit

‘Christians are highly motivated to make a difference in their communities, stepping forward in response to need and to fulfil the divine injunction to love our neighbours as ourself.’

So writes Rt Rev Dr Lee Rayfield, Bishop of Swindon, in his introduction to a report prepared by the Churches’ Council for Industry and Responsibility on behalf of Swindon Churches Together, and formally launched on 16 January 2012.

Entitled Swindon Churches Audit, 2011: A Survey of the Churches’ Contribution to Community Life in Swindon, this 39-page document is available on request as a PDF file by emailing barbaraaftelak@ntlworld.com

The data mainly derive from a questionnaire completed by 49 (or 57%) of the 83 churches and four church organizations in Swindon, from which statistics were extrapolated to borough level. Some interviews were also conducted.

Average weekly attendance at all services was estimated as 8,300 or 4.2% of the population. 37% of these congregants were over 65. However, including worship, approximately 16,000 individuals attended 670 church-run activities each week.  

Swindon churches supported 325 and ran 280 community projects or community-focused activities. On average, each church supported or ran six such activities. 360 community groups also used Christian places of worship for their work or programmes on a regular basis.

4,780 people were believed to be involved in church-based volunteering (930 in a management capacity and 3,850 in other roles), while 3,000 church members and attenders routinely participated in voluntary work outside the church. The total volunteer hours which they offered each year was calculated as 610,000, representing a value of £6 million to the local economy were this effort to be costed realistically.

The Swindon findings are broadly consistent with other local audits of religion as social capital, for example the more multifaith surveys carried out by universities in Oxfordshire and Plymouth in 2010 and already featured by BRIN at:

http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/2010/faith-in-oxfordshire/

and

http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/2010/plymouth-faith-action-audit/

These and similar studies play into the Government agenda for social action, which positions faith at the heart of community engagement. This policy has recently manifested itself in the announcement by Eric Pickles, Communities Secretary, on 13 January that throughout 2012 faith bodies will lead a series of volunteering days, encouraging communities to come together to help improve their local neighbourhoods.

 

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Anglican Churchgoing in 2010

Attendance in the Church of England continues on its gently declining path, although there are one or two glimmers of hope, according to the 2010 provisional statistics which were released by the Research and Statistics Department of the Archbishops’ Council on 19 January 2012 as a set of 19 pages of tables and maps, disaggregated by diocese. They are available at:

http://www.churchofengland.org/media/1385577/2010provisionalattendanceandaffliation.pdf

In terms of congregations at ‘ordinary’ services, the best figure was for all-age monthly attendance. At 1,645,000, this was 0.4% down on 2009 (made up of a decline of 0.7% for adults and an increase of 0.3% for children and young people). The decrease since 2000 was 11.3%. The Government’s estimate of England’s population in mid-2010 was 52,234,000, 3.1% of whom therefore worshipped in Anglican churches once a month.   

A variety of other attendance measures is also compiled. Average weekly attendance stood at 1,116,000 in 2010, a reduction of 1.3% over the previous year (1.1% for adults and 2.0% for children and young people). Highest all-age Sunday attendance was 1,283,000, 1.7% lower than in 2009 and 12.4% than in 2000. Average Sunday attendance fell by 2.2% between 2009 and 2010 and usual Sunday attendance by 1.7%.    

Since attendance counts in the Church of England take place at traditional services during a four-week period in October, it is conceivable that they may miss some worshippers. In particular, there has been a concern among the Anglican hierarchy that those involved with Fresh Expressions of church, but who do not take part in regular services, may be omitted. In 2010 these were covered for the first time in the figures. 1,000 such Fresh Expressions linked to the Church of England were identified, attended by 30,000 people who would not otherwise attend church.

As for religious festivals, all-age Christmas Day/Eve attendance in 2010 was 2,298,000, 5.1% less than in 2009. Extremely harsh weather in 2010 will have contributed to the drop, but the trend is longer-term, with Christmas attendance in 2010 19.4% lower than in 2000. Easter Day/Eve attendance was 1,395,000, 1.2% down on 2009. There were fewer festival communicants than attenders, 903,000 on Christmas Day/Eve and 999,000 on Easter Day/Eve, albeit communicants formed a much higher proportion of attenders at Easter than at Christmas.

Electoral roll membership rose by 17,500, or 1.4%, between 2009 and 2010, to reach 1,214,000. However, the real test of what is happening will probably come in 2013 when the next six-yearly wholesale revision of the roll will be undertaken. There was a big fall in the number of confirmands (10.4%) from 2009 to 2010.

The picture for rites of passage was mixed. Total baptisms were unchanged between 2009 and 2010, although infant baptisms declined by 0.6%. Marriages in Anglican churches were up by 3.8% on the year, and restored to the level in 2006-07, perhaps reflecting the success of the Weddings Project of the Archbishops’ Council and the introduction of the 2008 Marriage Measure. Funerals were down 3.0% overall and those conducted in crematoria by 3.6%.

 

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Christian Attitudes to Poverty

Attending church appears to do little to change people’s underlying attitudes to poverty and inequality, with no great differences between the views of churchgoers and non-churchgoers, and – in particular – sharp divergences between those of clergy and their congregations.

These are among the key findings of a new research report from the Church Urban Fund (CUF) in association with Church Action on Poverty, previewed in the Church of England Newspaper and Church Times of 16 December last but only just released in full. Entitled Bias to the Poor? Christian Attitudes to Poverty in this Country, it can be downloaded from:

http://www.cuf.org.uk/sites/default/files/documents/PDFs/Bias_to_the_poor.pdf

CUF’s data derive from a survey of 170 Church of England clergy, carried out at deanery chapter meetings in 2011, and for regular (at least monthly) churchgoers of all denominations and non-churchgoers or professing non-religious from secondary analysis of NatCen’s British Social Attitudes (BSA) Survey (seemingly for 2009). Among the headline statistics are:

  • 73% of clergy said poverty is mainly due to social injustice, compared with only 22% of regular churchgoers and 20% of non-religious
  • 38% of churchgoers and non-religious have a fatalistic or passive attitude to poverty, regarding it as ‘an inevitable part of modern life’, against 16% of clergy
  • 23% of churchgoers and 27% of non-religious attribute poverty to laziness or lack of willpower (1% of clergy)
  • 83% of clergy assessed that large income differences contribute to social problems like crime, versus 56% of churchgoers and 65% of non-religious
  • 77% of clergy described large income differences as unfair, compared with 50% of churchgoers and 51% of non-religious
  • 73% of clergy believed that large income differences are morally wrong, twice the figure (36%) for both churchgoers and non-religious
  • 79% of churchgoers and 75% of non-religious saw large income differences as inevitable, against 34% of clergy
  • 64% of churchgoers and 60% of non-religious thought large income differences incentivized people to work hard (just 19% of clergy taking the same position)
  • 76% of clergy acknowledged that there is ‘quite a lot’ of child poverty in Britain, against just 37% of churchgoers and 38% of non-religious (in fact, official statistics prove that nearly one in three children are living in poverty)

Comparing results with BSA surveys for 20 years ago, sympathy for the poor among churchgoers is revealed to have declined. Attitudes to benefits have especially hardened, 57% of churchgoers in 2009 arguing they are too high and discourage work (versus 30% in 1987). 

CUF concludes: ‘Our findings show that clergy understand poverty and inequality very differently to their congregations, and that church attendance has little impact on people’s underlying attitudes to these issues (in stark contrast to other moral issues, like euthanasia, censorship, and marriage, where there are very marked differences between churchgoers and non-churchgoers).’

‘The majority of churchgoers do not recognise the extent of poverty in this country and only a small minority attributes poverty to social injustice. If, as we believe, tackling poverty is at the heart of the gospel message, then there is a clear need for churches to do more to raise awareness and understanding of these issues among their congregations.’

 

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Christian Research’s Christmastide Pot-Pourri

A rather improbable 53% of Britons claim they will be observing Christmas as a religious festival in some way this year, 2% more than actually affiliate as Christians, according to an opinion poll published today (23 December 2011).

Fieldwork was undertaken online by ComRes on behalf of Christian Research between 9 and 11 December 2011. The sample comprised 2,009 British adults aged 18 and over. The data tables are available at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Christian_Research_Morality_Dec11.pdf

Abbie Heath has also blogged about the survey on the Christian Research website at:

http://www.christian-research.org/christian-research-blog/2011-12-22-15-59-40.html

Respondents were given a list of nine forms of Christmas religious observance and asked which of them they intended to do this Christmas. In descending order, the answers were:

  • Watch or listen to a broadcast Christmas service – 27%
  • Send a religious-themed Christmas card – 22%
  • Attend a carol service – 19%
  • Attend a nativity play – 16%
  • Pray – 15%
  • Attend a church service on Christmas Eve – 14%
  • Attend a church service on Christmas Day – 7%
  • Go carol-singing – 6%
  • Read the Bible – 6%

Predictably, Christians expected to be far more observant than non-Christians. Women were also planning to be more religiously active than men, the elderly more than the young (although the peak for frequenting nativity plays was 25% among the 35-44s), and – less consistently – the top social group (ABs) than the bottom one (DEs).

The 47% of the population who thought they would do none of these things were especially located among non-Christians (72%), 18-24s (62%), private-sector workers (54%), skilled manual employees (54%), and men (53%).

For 24% of adults (31% of Christians) the consumerist and commercial emphasis surrounding Christmas had supposedly made them more likely to think about ‘faith-based moral values’. But most (69%) said that they had been unaffected in this way.

It was a similar story when six other experiences of 2011 were raised. Only about one-quarter claimed they had prompted their mind to turn to ‘faith-based moral values’, rising to one-third for Christians and the over-65s.

The experiences concerned were: the summer riots; global financial instability; potential job insecurity; the Arab uprisings; personal circumstances; and the Occupy London protest (which triggered moral thoughts for just 19%).

Reviewing the past year more generally, Christians did not differ hugely from non-Christians in their assessments. There was most negativity about the state of world affairs (60% among Christians) and of British society (56% with Christians).

Looking ahead to 2012, Christians scored more highly than non-Christians on each of six measures of anticipated social activism. Nevertheless, only 34% of Christians said they would look out for the welfare of their neighbours and 30% donate regularly to charity.  

The largest numbers of Christians were found among the over-55s (69%), the ABs (58%), public-sector workers (57%), and women (53%). The biggest concentration of non-Christians was in the 18-24 cohort (69%).

This will probably be the last news post on BRIN before Christmas, but we will be back soon afterwards. Whatever your faith, or none, the BRIN team extends our warmest seasonal greetings to all users of our site.

 

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