Religion and Politics – A New Opinion Poll

Since its launch in November 2006 the public theology think tank, Theos, has performed valuable service in a number of ways, not least (in the cause of religious statistics) by commissioning a series of opinion polls to gauge public attitudes on a range of religious and moral issues.

With a general election in the offing, Theos has sponsored ComRes to survey the views of 1,085 British adults of voting age on the subject of religion and politics. Fieldwork was conducted by telephone on 17 and 18 February 2010. These voters and potential voters sub-divided into 674 professed Christians, 71 Muslims, 47 of other faiths and 291 of no religion.

Recall of voting at the 2005 general election showed that Muslims and those of no religion were then somewhat more inclined to support Labour than the Conservatives. Among those likely to vote this year this still remains the case for Muslims, 57 per cent of whom opt for Labour and 18 per cent for the Conservatives.

For all other groups there is a net advantage for the Conservatives over Labour, +10 per cent among Christians, +34 per cent for non-Christians other than Muslims and +8 per cent for those of no religion.

When asked which of the political parties had been most or least friendly towards particular religions during recent years, one-half of respondents were unable to express a view. Of those recording an opinion, the Conservative and Labour parties are seen as equally well-disposed to the Christian faith.

However, Labour is felt to be most empathetic to Islam (by 36 per cent of the sample, against 10 per cent who judged Conservatives as most pro-Muslim). Labour was also regarded as being more predisposed towards faith in general.

Majorities of the population disagree that religious freedoms have been restricted in Britain during the past decade (59 per cent against 32 per cent agreeing), and that the law should prevent people from expressing their religious views in the workplace (63 per cent against 31 per cent).

Most (64 per cent, with 30 per cent disagreeing) consider that the Pope and other religious leaders have a responsibility to speak out on political issues they are concerned about, a topic prompted by Benedict XVI’s recent intervention over the equality bill before the Westminster Parliament.

There is a commentary on the poll by Nick Spencer, Director of Studies at Theos, which aims to trigger an online debate on the question ‘Is Labour the Natural Home for British Muslims?’ This can be accessed at:

http://www.theosthinktank.co.uk/Is_Labour_the_natural_home_for_British_Muslims.aspx?ArticleID=3850&PageID=11&RefPageID=5

There is also a ComRes press release on the survey, with a link to the full data tables, at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/page190146516.aspx

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Religion and Community Cohesion

The Department for Communities and Local Government published 2008-09 Citizenship Survey: Community Cohesion Topic Report by Cheryl Lloyd on 18 February 2010. It runs to 196 pages and is available for free download at:

http://www.communities.gov.uk/documents/statistics/pdf/1473353.pdf

This is the first of the projected four reports from the 2008-09 Citizenship Survey, which is the fifth in a series initiated by Government in 2001.

Face-to-face interviews were conducted by NatCen between April 2008 and March 2009 with a representative core sample of 9,335 adults aged 16 and over in England and Wales, and with an ethnic minority booster of 5,582 adults.

The eight substantive chapters in the report, and the associated tables, cover: perceptions of community cohesion, views on the immediate neighbourhood, views on the local area, fear of crime, meaningful interaction with people from different backgrounds, social networks, attitudes to immigration, and sense of belonging to Britain.

In each case the results are analysed by religious affiliation. Some of the differences between religious groups arising from the current report are:

  • People of no religion are less likely to feel a strong sense of belonging to their neighbourhood than those professing a religion, 71 per cent against 79 per cent, with Sikhs recording the highest figure (88 per cent) and Buddhists the lowest (64 per cent)
  • People of no religion are less worried about crime than those professing a religion, 34 per cent against 43 per cent, with Hindus most worried (60 per cent) and Buddhists the least (34 per cent)
  • People of no religion are more likely to have meaningful interactions with citizens from different ethnic or religious groups than those professing a religion, 85 per cent against 79 per cent, with Hindus having the most contact (96 per cent) and Christians the least (78 per cent)
  • People of no religion are less likely to call for a major cut in the number of immigrants coming to Britain than those professing a religion, 45 per cent against 53 per cent, with Christians most exercised on the matter (56 per cent) and Muslims the least (23 per cent)
  • People of no religion are less likely to feel a strong sense of belonging to Britain than those professing a religion, 81 per cent against 85 per cent, with Sikhs feeling the greatest sense of identity (91 per cent) and Buddhists the least (71 per cent)

The dataset from the 2008-09 Citizenship Survey will be available for secondary analysis in due course from the Economic and Social Data Service. Datasets from the four previous surveys, in 2001, 2003, 2005 and 2007-08, are already held there (Study Numbers 4754, 5087, 5367 and 5739 respectively).

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British Social Attitudes Survey, 2008

British Social Attitudes: The 26th Report by Alison Park and others was published by Sage on 26 January 2010 (£50, ISBN 9781849203876). It comprises a series of essays based upon the findings of the 2008 British Social Attitudes survey, conducted among a representative sample of adult Britons aged 18 and over. The survey has been undertaken by what is now NatCen annually since 1983 (except in 1988 and 1992), on behalf of a range of public-sector and third-sector clients and funders. A combination of face-to-face interviews and self-completion questionnaires is used.

As in 1991 and 1998 (when they formed a module of the International Social Survey Program), the 2008 British Social Attitudes survey included a large number of religion-related questions, especially funded by the Economic and Social Research Council, the John Templeton Foundation and NORFACE. These underpinned two of the chapters in the published report, both written by members of the British Religion in Numbers project team at the Institute for Social Change, University of Manchester.

The first chapter is by David Voas and Rodney Ling on ‘Religion in Britain and the United States’ (pp. 65-86), for which a press release will be found at:  

http://www.natcen.ac.uk/pzMedia/uploads/EntityFieldFile/dae358b5-1486-4b9e-8119-2c917c05780d.doc

NatCen’s official summary of this chapter reads: ‘There has been a sharp decline in religious faith in Britain, while in America people are much less likely to be atheist or agnostic. Despite this difference, people in Britain and America hold similar views about the place of religion in society. Most people are pragmatic: religion has personal and social benefits, but faith should not be taken too far. From politics to private life, many domains are seen as off limits to clerical involvement. Our research also revealed that just over half of people in Britain (52%) fear that the UK is deeply divided along religious lines and are particularly concerned about Islam compared with other faiths.’

The other chapter is by Siobhan McAndrew on ‘Religious Faith and Contemporary Attitudes’ (pp. 87-113), which is summarized as follows: ‘People who are religious hold more traditional attitudes towards family and personal relationships. Half of religious people believe that homosexual sex is always or almost always wrong compared with one in five of unreligious people. One in five religious people agree that it is the man’s job to earn money and the woman’s job to stay at home and look after the home and family compared with one in ten of the unreligious.’

These two chapters by no means exhaust the religion-related potential of the 2008 British Social Attitudes Survey, as will become clear when the dataset is released for secondary analysis by the Economic and Social Data Service. Meanwhile, a glimpse of the relevant subjects and topline results can be found in the questionnaire, which is available at:

http://www.natcen.ac.uk/pzMedia/uploads/Downloadable/d1f738cd-0dab-4858-a771-505eda40de3d.pdf

See, in particular: face-to-face questionnaire, Q656-Q844, Q1111-1119; self-completion questionnaire version A, Q8-Q34; and self-completion questionnaire version C, Q17-Q34. The total number of respondents for the 2008 survey was 4,486, although many questions were only posed to sub-samples.

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Church in Wales Schools

The Church Times for 12 February included a feature by Edwin Counsell on the Church in Wales’ 168 primary and four secondary schools. This highlighted the work of the Church in Wales Education Review, which has recently been completed after a three-year information-gathering exercise among the church, education and political communities of Wales.

The report on the Education Review can be found at:

http://www.roath.org.uk/Documents/FaithInEducation/CiWEducationReviewEng.pdf

It is written by Dr David Lankshear, statistics officer to the Education Review and, in its later phases, also its secretary. He is programme leader at the St Mary’s Centre, the national centre supporting religious education in Wales, which was established at St Deiniol’s Library in 2008. He has published widely in the field of church-related education, often in partnership with Professor Leslie Francis.

Appendix B (pp. 64-73) of the Education Review summarizes the statistical information about Church in Wales schools. This is partly collated from diocesan and local authority websites and from school performance data. However, special surveys were also undertaken in connection with the Review among Church in Wales incumbents, parochial church council (PCC) secretaries and parents of children attending Church in Wales schools.

A separate account of the surveys among clergy (n= 275) and PCC secretaries (n= 538) appears as David Lankshear and Mandy Robbins, ‘Church in Wales Schools: A Perspective from within the Church’, REview Wales, Vol. 1, No. 1, August 2009, pp. 4-9. This is available at:

http://www.st-marys-centre.co.uk/documents/cms/aug09review.pdf

Further papers by David Lankshear describing the statistical results of the Education Review are promised. He can be contacted at dlankshear@st-deiniols.org

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Integrity and Religion of MPs

Project SUSA has released the results of an opinion poll on the subject of the integrity and religion of Members of Parliament.

The survey was conducted by ComRes by telephone among a representative sample of 1,000 British adults aged 18 and over between 22 and 24 January 2010.

A press release about the poll’s findings, including a link to the full set of data tables, will be found at:

http://www.susa.info/news/susa-poll

In the lead up to the forthcoming general election the poll found that 19 per cent believed that politics in the UK would be improved if more MPs read the Bible, with 76 per cent disagreeing.

25 per cent said that they would trust an MP who is a practising Christian more than one who is not. However, 16 per cent would trust a practising Christian less.

39 per cent thought that their MP is a believer in some religion, 27 per cent that their MP is of no religion, with 34 per cent unsure.

72 per cent of the sample said that the personal integrity of their MP was more important to them than the party to which the MP belonged. 71 per cent claimed that the expenses scandal of 2009 had heightened their concerns about perceived integrity issues.

Project SUSA was formally launched at the House of Commons on 3 February, with a vision ‘to encourage and equip Christians in the UK to become more extensively and effectively engaged in politics and government’.

The initiative is led by the Bible Society with support from 24-7 Prayer. It is endorsed by Christians in Politics, the official cross-party organization for Christian groups in the main UK political parties.

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Baptist Ministry Today

The Baptist Ministers’ Fellowship, a voluntary association of British Baptist ministers founded in 1939, has recently published the results of a survey of its members on the theme of ‘life in ministry’.

The survey was organized by Revd Brian Jones, minister of Christ Church local ecumenical partnership, Woodloes Park, Warwickshire. It was completed online in 2009 by 218 Fellowship members (out of 1,600 in all).

An article by Mr Jones summarizing the survey appears in the latest issue of Baptist Ministers’ Journal. His conclusion is that there are ‘reasonably high levels of satisfaction in current Baptist ministry’. This article is reproduced, along with a series of statistical tables, on the Fellowship’s website at:

http://www.bmf-uk.org/archives/category/issues

There is also an overview of the survey by Paul Hobson on the front page of the Baptist Times for 5 February 2010.

Some of the headline results from the various Likert-style questions include:

  • 60 per cent of ministers are happy with their stipend (with 17 per cent unhappy)
  • 86 per cent consider that their present housing meets their needs
  • 83 per cent say that their expenses are fully reimbursed
  • 69 per cent feel they have adequate pension arrangements
  • 53 per cent are happy with their retirement housing provision (but 18 per cent not)
  • 65 per cent are happy with their workload
  • 60 per cent are happy with the number of their working hours
  • 52 per cent often have to work unsociable hours
  • 52 per cent feel well supported by the Baptist Union (but 21 per cent not)
  • 63 per cent are happy with the expectations placed on their family by their church
  • 60 per cent get sufficient appreciation of their work from their church (but 19 per cent not)
  • 81 per cent feel they have the skills to do their work effectively
  • 92 per cent are happy with their vocation
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Religious Discrimination in the European Union

The European Commission has recently released a detailed report on Discrimination in the EU in 2009, continuing a series of investigations of this topic commenced in 2006. The latest document is Special Eurobarometer 317 and is based on Wave 71.2 of the regular Eurobarometer. It is freely available at:

http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/ebs/ebs_317_en.pdf

The survey was conducted by TNS Opinion and Social in June-July 2009 on behalf of the Commission’s Directorate General Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities. Representative samples of the adult population aged 15 and over were interviewed in all 27 EU member states and in the three candidate countries. 26,756 interviews were carried out in all, including 1,317 in the UK.

Attitudes to and experience of discrimination on the grounds of ethnicity, gender, age, sexual orientation and disability were assessed, as well as religious discrimination. The headline findings for religion and belief are:

  • 45 per cent of UK citizens consider that discrimination on the basis of religion or belief is very or fairly widespread (more than the EU average of 39 per cent) and 47 per cent that it is rare
  • 35 per cent of UK citizens consider that discrimination on the basis of religion or belief is more widespread than it was five years ago (EU average 32 per cent)
  • Notwithstanding, just 2 per cent of UK citizens report that they have personally been discriminated against or harassed on the basis of religion or belief in the past twelve months (EU average 1 per cent)
  • But 6 per cent of UK citizens report that, during the same period, they have witnessed somebody else being discriminated against or harassed on the basis of religion or belief (EU average 5 per cent)
  • 16 per cent of UK citizens feel that applicants for employment could be put at a disadvantage by the expression of a religious belief, such as wearing a visible religious symbol (EU average 22 per cent)
  • 42 per cent of UK citizens think that the current economic crisis could contribute to increased religious discrimination in the labour market (EU average 42 per cent)
  • 72 per cent of UK citizens are in favour of new measures to promote equal opportunities in employment on the basis of religion or belief (EU average 67 per cent)
  • 45 per cent of UK citizens would feel very or a little uncomfortable about a person from a minority religion running for the highest elected political office (EU average 51 per cent)
  • 27 per cent of UK citizens do not consider that religious diversity is sufficiently reflected in the media (EU average 35 per cent)
  • 79 per cent of UK citizens have friends of a different religion to their own (EU average 64 per cent)
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Head Teacher Posts in Anglican and Catholic Schools

The 25th Annual Survey of Senior Staff Appointments in Schools across England and Wales has just been published by Education Data Surveys, since 2008 a division of TSL Education Ltd (publishers of the TES). Written by John Howson (Visiting Professor at Oxford Brookes University and the London Institute of Education), the report is freely available at:

http://www.naht.org.uk/welcome/resources/key-topics/workload/results-of-education-data-survey-published-29-january-2010/?locale=en

In a religious context the survey is of particular interest for what it tells us about recruitment patterns, specifically re-advertising of head teacher posts, in Church of England and Roman Catholic schools (of which there are more than 6,500 in England alone). Re-advertisements are defined as posts for which a second advertisement appeared between 21 and 365 days after the original advertisement.

Throughout the quarter-century of the survey there has been a concern that such faith schools have always had higher re-advertisement rates for head teachers than community, voluntary or other types of school. In 2008/09, however, there was an improvement in re-advertisement rates in both Anglican and Catholic schools.

Church of England schools recorded their lowest re-advertisement rate (37 per cent) since 2002/03 and Roman Catholic schools (49 per cent) their best outcome since 1998/99. Notwithstanding, both groups of school are still less likely than other schools to make an appointment to a head teacher post on its first advertisement.

Unfortunately, the small number of Methodist, other Christian and non-Christian faith schools makes it impossible to record and report meaningful data for any single year. But over the past two decades the re-advertisement rate for Methodist primary schools has been 49 per cent and for Jewish schools even higher.

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Anti-Semitic Incidents in the United Kingdom

The Community Security Trust (CST) has published its detailed (36 pages) Antisemitic Incidents Report, 2009. This is available on the Trust’s website at http://www.thecst.org.uk/docs/CST-incidents-report-09-for-web.pdf

The CST has been monitoring anti-Semitic incidents in the United Kingdom on an annual basis since 1984. A registered charity since 1994, the CST has 55 full-time staff and 3,000 volunteers who provide physical security, training and advice for the protection of British Jews; represent Jewry to Government and police in respect of matters affecting security and anti-Semitism; and assist victims of anti-Semitism.

924 anti-Semitic incidents were recorded by the CST in the United Kingdom in 2009, the highest annual total since statistics commenced, and 55 per cent more than the previous high of 598 incidents in 2006. This 924 represents an increase of 69 per cent on the 2008 figure of 546 and follows two years in which incidents had fallen.

The main reason for this new peak of incidents is the unprecedented number recorded in January and February 2009 (288 and 114 respectively), during and after the conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. The level of incidents did not return to something like a ‘normal’ figure until April. 23 per cent of all incidents during the year included a reference to Gaza.

The majority (605) incidents in 2009 were categorized as involving abusive behaviour, followed by 121 instances of assault, both being the highest ever recorded figures. The remaining types of anti-Semitism were: damage and desecration (89), literature (62), threats (44) and extreme violence (3).

There was a close correlation between the number of incidents and areas of Jewish concentration, with 460 incidents being reported for Greater London, 206 for Greater Manchester and 258 from more than 70 other locations throughout the country.

In addition to the 924 confirmed anti-Semitic incidents in 2009, CST investigated a further 489 cases which it ultimately judged not to be anti-Semitic in nature.

The 2009 report includes, at page 35, monthly incident figures for 1999-2009. Detailed reports for 2005-08 inclusive are also available on the CST website.

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Should the Burka be Banned in Britain? A New Public Opinion Poll

The debate raging in France and Italy about a possible ban on the wearing of the burka in public has prompted The Independent to test opinion on the subject in Great Britain. 

The newspaper commissioned ComRes to conduct a telephone poll among a representative sample of 1,016 Britons aged 18 and over on 27-28 January 2010.

Four statements were put to respondents:

  • that there should be no legal restrictions on wearing a burka: 43% agreed and 52% disagreed
  • that it should be illegal to wear a burka in places like banks and airports: 64% agreed and 33% disagreed
  • that schools should be allowed to prevent teachers from wearing burkas if they wish: 61% agreed and 35% disagreed
  • that it should be illegal to wear a burka in any public place: 36% agreed and 59% disagreed

A summary of the poll findings appears in an article by Andrew Grice in The Independent for 1 February.

Grice’s headline conclusion was that ‘The British public support some restrictions on wearing the burka in public but oppose an outright ban.’

The article is also available online at:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/poll-shows-britons-back-limited-curbs-on-the-veil-1885163.html

The full computer tabulations, with results disaggregated by gender, age, social grade and region, are available in PDF format at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/page16534040.aspx

The poll is published shortly after the appearance of a book incorporating the latest data from the annual British Social Attitudes survey.

In one of its chapters David Voas and Rodney Ling demonstrated significant negativity towards Muslims in Britain, far more so than towards any other religious group.

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