Threat of Religious Extremism

UK citizens are more concerned about religious extremism than almost any other country in the European Union (EU), according to Special Eurobarometer 371 on Internal Security published today and available at:

http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/ebs/ebs_371_en.pdf

The study formed part of wave 75.4 of Eurobarometer, undertaken in all 27 member states of the EU for the European Commission’s Directorate General for Communication (Research and Speechwriting Unit).

UK fieldwork was conducted by TNS between 4 and 19 June 2011 through face-to-face interviews with a representative sample of 1,342 adults aged 15 and over. Both Great Britain and Northern Ireland were surveyed.

Respondents were asked what they considered to be the most important challenges facing the security of, first, their own country’s citizens and, then, all EU citizens.

Their replies were assigned to pre-coded categories which were neither shown nor read out to them. A maximum of three unprompted answers was permitted.  

Religious extremism was deemed a threat to national security by 10% of the UK sample. The EU27 mean was 6%, with only The Netherlands (15%) and Belgium and Denmark (11% each) recording higher figures. Germany’s was the same as the UK’s.

Within the UK religious extremism was judged the seventh greatest challenge, after terrorism (47%), organized crime (25%), economic and financial crises (24%), illegal immigration (23%), poverty (14%), and cybercrime (11%).

Lesser concerns in the UK were petty crime (9%), insecurity of EU borders (8%), environmental issues (7%), corruption (6%), natural disasters (3%), wars (3%), and nuclear disasters (2%).

The pattern was very similar when UK adults were asked about threats to all EU citizens. Religious extremism again scored 10%, against the EU average of 6% and a high of 15% in The Netherlands, with 12% in Belgium and 11% in Denmark. Terrorism topped the UK list on 41%.

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Marginalized Christians?

The All Party Parliamentary Group ‘Christians in Parliament’, chaired by Conservative MP Gary Streeter, is currently conducting the ‘Clearing the Ground’ inquiry, which seeks to establish whether changes to the law and recent court decisions have adversely affected Christian freedoms in the UK.

Premier Christian Media Trust (PCMT) is one of the bodies which have been giving evidence to the inquiry. In this connection, PCMT has prepared a report on the ‘Marginalisation of Christianity in British Public Life, 2007-2011’, which draws extensively upon PCMT and other polling evidence. The document does not yet appear to be available on the internet, but its contents are outlined in an article in Christian Today, which is at:

http://www.christiantoday.com/article/christians.still.feel.marginalised.report/28872.htm

The latest in this series of PCMT polls was commissioned from ComRes and carried out on the online Cpanel on 25-31 October 2011. Questions were put to 544 practising UK Christians aged 18 and over. The detailed results can be found at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Premier_Marginalisation_data_tables_Nov11.pdf 

According to this survey, a majority of churchgoing Christians felt that the marginalization of Christianity in British public life is increasing. 71% claimed that it was in the media, 68% in public, 66% in the Government, and 61% in the workplace. The remainder was fairly evenly divided between those who considered that marginalization is staying the same or is decreasing.

The figure for the Government was 7% up on a similar Cpanel poll in November-December 2010, but the other three spheres recorded a lower proportion of perceived increase than a year ago, not ‘more or less the same’ as stated in a PCMT press release on 14 November 2011. These comparative 2010 data are at: 

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Premier_Cpanel_Tables_Nov10.pdf

Female Christians were more likely than men to believe that marginalization of Christianity is increasing. The greatest concern by age tended to be among churchgoers from 35 to 64 years, with the very youngest and the very oldest Christians recording somewhat lower figures.

Denominationally, except for the workplace, Roman Catholics seemed most preoccupied about marginalization, perhaps influenced by Benedict XVI’s observations on the matter during the course of his 2010 papal visit. However, the difference between them and other Christians was still relatively slight, especially when the smallness of the sub-samples is taken into account.

Three-quarters (74%) of respondents contended that there is greater discrimination against Christians in the UK than against people of other faiths, up from 66% in the October-November 2009 Cpanel. This view was particularly held by the over-65s (83%), Independents (85%), and Pentecostals (90%).

16% of practising Christians thought that all faiths endure discrimination equally, 7% that other religions suffer more than Christianity, and 2% that there is little or no discrimination against people of faith in the UK.

Other findings from this latest Cpanel survey, relating to attitudes to the legalization of gay marriage, have already been covered by BRIN at:

http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=1474 

There are numerous sources of public opinion about religious discrimination in general and discrimination against Christians in particular. These can best be traced through keyword searching the BRIN sources and news databases.

Overall, the public seems to show less anxiety about discrimination than the churchgoing Christians in Cpanel, but some polls, especially those sponsored by Christian lobbying groups, have apparently uncovered some concern about Christianophobic behaviour.

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A Place for Pride

‘People who are religious are more likely to be patriotic than are those who self-define as atheists or non-believers.’ So claims a report launched today by the think-tank Demos, and based on interviews with a representative sample of 2,086 adult Britons aged 18 and over in May 2011.

Sponsored by the Pears Foundation, A Place for Pride (ISBN 978-1-906693-88-6) is written by Max Wind-Cowie and Thomas Gregory and is available for free download at:

http://www.demos.co.uk/files/Place_for_pride_-_web.pdf?1321618230

The full data tables from the survey do not appear to have been released as yet. So all BRIN can currently offer are a few religion-related snippets extracted from the published report, as follows:

  • Among the population as a whole 79% said that they were proud to be a British citizen, but the proportion rose to 88% of Anglicans and Jews, 84% of Nonconformists, and 83% of Muslims 
  • Asked whether Britain’s best days were behind her, 44% of the entire sample agreed –  Anglicans (50%) were more pessimistic than average, although Muslims (31%) were more inclined to optimism, with secularists (43%) about the norm 
  • Almost four-fifths of respondents believed that people in Britain were less proud of their religion than 50 years ago – just 35% said they took pride in their own faith 
  • 20% of Muslims but 10% of those without religion claimed strongly to take pride in Britain’s treatment of gay people 
  • 14% claimed to have attended a Church of England service in the past six months and 15% another religious service 

A word of warning. Unless they were deliberately oversampled, which seems unlikely, the cell sizes for some faith groups must be fairly small. 

There is a consequent danger in over-egging the results, as The Sunday Times could be said to have done yesterday with its preview of the report under the headline ‘Muslims are Britain’s greatest flag wavers’.  

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Religion in Western Europe and the USA

The latest report from the Pew Global Attitudes Project, on the values gap between America and Western Europe (including on three religious indicators), was published today, with the general headline of ‘American exceptionalism subsides’ (although this was less applicable to religion than other domains). The document can be found at:

http://www.pewglobal.org/files/2011/11/Pew-Global-Attitudes-Values-Report-FINAL-November-17-2011-10AM-EST.pdf

Today’s reported data cover only the USA, Britain, France, Germany and Spain but form part of the Spring 2011 Pew Global Attitudes Survey, carried out among 23 publics worldwide. In Britain 1,000 adults aged 18 and over were interviewed by telephone between 22 March and 13 April 2011.

Asked how important religion was in their life, 17% of Britons replied very important and 21% somewhat important. The combined figure of 38% was 24 points lower than in 2006 and about half the US total of 77% in 2011 (with Germany on 52%, Spain on 49%, and France on 36%). 21% of Britons said that religion was not too important to them and two-fifths not at all important (up from around one-third in most previous years).

78% of Britons denied that it was necessary to believe in God to be moral and have good values. This was a rise from 73% in 2002 and 75% in 2007. Only 20% said that such belief was integral to morality, somewhat more than in France (15%) and Spain (19%), but fewer than in Germany (33%) and the USA (53%, outnumbering the deniers there by 7%).

Of professing Christians, 21% in Britain considered themselves first and foremost as Christians and 63% as British citizens (24% and 59% respectively in 2006), with 10% saying both equally. This was a similar pattern to Germany and Spain but contrasted markedly with the USA where identical proportions (46%) regarded themselves as primarily Christians or primarily Americans.

Other results from the Spring 2011 Pew Global Attitudes Survey, concerning attitudes to Muslims, have already been noted by BRIN. See: http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=1352

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Clergy Experience of Appointments

Interviews for clergy appointments often last for less than one hour, end up as one-way questioning, lack clarity, and assume a rather secular air, according to a survey recently released by 3D Coaching, which provides coaching and organizational development services to the charity sector, including churches. 

The research was undertaken during the summer of 2011 among clergy of all denominations who had been interviewed for the role of minister, mostly in a local church, during the last three years. There were 139 respondents, of whom 131 were from the Church of England. The sample recruitment method is unknown.

Key statistical findings include the following:  

  • 51% of interviews lasted under one hour, 37% between one and two hours, and 12% longer than two hours 
  • 54% of applicants described the interview as a two-way dialogue, but for 46% it felt more like one-way questioning 
  • 18% did not consider the line of questioning to be clear, while for 57% it was clear and for 25% very clear 
  • 62% recalled that the interview mostly concentrated on their competencies, against 7% who said that it mainly explored their ministerial calling, and 20% the ‘chemistry’ which would have made for a successful ‘marriage’ with the post 
  • In the light of hindsight, only 9% considered that the person and parish/church profile for the role had fully mirrored reality, most (55%) thinking it was at best a 75% reflection of the truth; on the other hand, 13% regarded it as a 25% match or less

Notwithstanding these deficiencies in the selection process, 79% of clergy applicants believed that the interviewers had met the real ‘them’ and 91% that the right person had been appointed eventually, even though only 71% of them were actually successful.

A 24-page report on the survey, containing extensive qualitative data as well as the numbers, is freely available at:

http://www.3dcoaching.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/How-to-Make-Great-Appointments-Survey-Results.pdf

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Faith in the Financial Services Sector

The Archbishop of Canterbury may have intervened in the controversy surrounding the Occupy London protest, as noted in our post at http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=1477, but financial services professionals emphatically reject the Church’s role in high finance.

This is the very clear message from an online survey of 515 finance professionals in the City of London conducted by ComRes between 30 August and 12 September 2011, on behalf of the St Paul’s Institute at St Paul’s Cathedral. 88% of respondents were aged 25-54 and 65% were men.

The research is summarized by Rita Duarte of ComRes on pp. 8-19 of Value and Values: Perceptions of Ethics in the City Today, a report and reflections from the St Paul’s Institute published on 7 November. This can be downloaded from:

http://www.stpaulsinstitute.org.uk/Reports

Additionally, ComRes has released the full data tables from the study, with breaks by gender, age, and length of working in the financial services sector. These can be found at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/St_Pauls_results_Sep11.pdf

Asked whether the City of London needed to listen more to the guidance of the Church, only 12% agreed, 76% disagreed, with 12% uncertain. Men (79%) were more likely to disagree than women (70%), with dissent reaching 80% among those who had worked longest in the sector (for fifteen years or more).

Nor can such attitudes be entirely attributed to an absence of faith. Belief in God ran at 41% and at virtually one-half for the over-55s and those who had been in the sector for fewer than five years. 38% disbelieved, but one in two of them said that they believed in a higher power or were a spiritual person. 21% did not know what to think about God.

16% of financial services professionals claimed to attend religious worship at least once a month, 37% less frequently, and 47% never. Total non-attendance peaked at 54% for the 25-34 cohort and 60% for those who had worked in the sector from six to ten years.

More generally, the poll discovered that: ‘professionals in the financial services sector believe that City bond traders, FTSE chief executives and stock brokers are paid too much, teachers are paid too little and that there is too great a gap between rich and poor in the UK.’

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Occupy London, Act II – Enter the Archbishop

Occupy London’s anti-capitalist campsite outside St Paul’s Cathedral has now been there for three weeks and seems dug in for the long haul. The Dean and Chapter and the wider leadership of the Church of England have been increasingly challenged by its presence, not simply in terms of how to respond to it as a physical ‘neighbour’ but what line to take about the morality of capitalism and the world of high finance.

The Archbishop of Canterbury, Rowan Williams, finally entered the fray early last week in a statement on the resignation of the Dean of St Paul’s, an article in the Financial Times, and an interview with BBC News. In these utterances he stressed the importance of addressing the urgent issues raised by the protesters, put forward some solutions of his own for doing so (notably the Tobin Tax), and conceded that the Church had failed ‘to square the circle of public interest and public protest’ in dealing with Occupy London.

How has the public reacted to the Archbishop’s belated intervention? In an attempt to answer this question, YouGov covered the Occupy London movement in its poll for today’s issue of The Sunday Times. A representative sample of 1,561 British adults aged 18 and over was interviewed online on 3 and 4 November 2011, and the results have been posted at:

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/2011-11-04/YG-Archives-Pol-Sun-results-041111.pdf

Asked to rate how Williams had dealt with the Occupy London campsite and subsequent events at the Cathedral, 41% said that he had handled the matter badly, 26% well, with 33% expressing no opinion (rising to 57% of the 18-24s). The groups most critical of the Archbishop were Conservative voters (54%), men (48%), and the over-60s (53%).

It is hard to interpret these findings, since the question was rather unspecific, gave no context about Williams’s views or actions, and thus will have been answered from diverse perspectives. In particular, was he being criticized by interviewees for the fact that he had intervened at all or because he had sat on the fence for so long before declaring his hand or a combination of both reasons?

Some clues may be implicit in replies to the next question about whether, regardless of this instance, senior clergy should comment on political matters. 45% said that it was wrong for them to do so, including 56% of Conservatives and 52% of over-60s. 38% accepted that the Church had a contribution to make to political debates, increasing to 45% among Labourites and Liberal Democrats and 44% of Londoners and Scots. 16% did not know what to think.

44% wanted the Cathedral and the Corporation of London to take legal action to remove the campsite from outside St Paul’s, 3% less than the figure in YouGov’s poll of 27-28 October, since when the threat of legal action has (in fact) been temporarily lifted. Conservatives (67%), men (51%), and the over-60s (53%) especially favoured invoking the law. 38% opposed legal action, with 18% undecided.

Support for Occupy London’s protest outside St Paul’s was only 20%, well down on the 39% who had endorsed the aims of the protesters in a somewhat different question the week before. 26% had then opposed the movement, whereas in the current poll 46% were hostile to it, particularly Conservatives (75%) and the over-60s (60%). But one-third expressed no views.

It is probably the case that the public is tiring of such physical occupations, on account of their disruptive effects on everyday life and what Williams has described as the dramatic ‘cataract of unintended consequences’ at St Paul’s, but the public perhaps does often continue to share the frustrations about the morality of the financial system which gave rise to the occupations.

It is noteworthy that, in an ICM telephone poll for The Guardian on 21-23 October (after Occupy London commenced its sit-in around St Paul’s on 15 October), 51% of 1,003 adults agreed that the worldwide protests were ‘right to want to call time on a system that puts profit before people’, whereas 38% believed there is no practical alternative to capitalism.

The flames of discord in the affair seem likely to be fanned tomorrow (7 November) by the publication of a report from the St Paul’s Institute on the moral standards of the City of London. This is based upon a ComRes survey of 500 workers in the City’s financial institutions conducted during the summer.

The report, previewed in today’s The Independent on Sunday, was originally due to appear on 27 October but was deferred when Dr Giles Fraser, Director of the Institute, resigned from his post of Canon Chancellor at St Paul’s Cathedral, the first of three ‘victims’ of the controversy at the Cathedral to date.

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Legalization of Gay Marriage

The Conservative Party risks losing Christian votes if it goes ahead with legalizing gay marriage, as advocated by David Cameron at the Party’s recent conference in Manchester, a ComRes survey published on 4 November 2011 has revealed.

The poll was undertaken on behalf of Premier Christian Media Trust among the ComRes CPanel of UK churchgoing Christians aged 18 and over. 544 were interviewed online between 25 and 31 October 2011. Results are available (albeit with inadequate labelling of data tables for Question 2) at:

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Premier_Gay_Marriage_data_tables_Nov11.pdf

Asked how they viewed the Conservative proposal to legalize same-sex marriages, only 11% of Christians supported it, while 83% were opposed (three-quarters of them strongly).

Hostility was particularly concentrated among the over-65s (90%), compared with 26% support in the 18-34 cohort. Denominationally, Independents, Pentecostals and Roman Catholics were most critical.

Overwhelmingly, these churchgoers foresaw negative consequences in the event of the law being changed in respect of gay marriage:

  • 85% were concerned that the value of marriage would be further undermined
  • 78% that it would be harder to argue against ‘other novel types of relationship’ such as polygamy
  • 88% that schools would be required to teach the equal validity of same-sex and heterosexual relationships
  • 93% that clergy would have to conduct gay marriages against their consciences

Absolutely nobody claimed that Cameron’s commitment to legalizing same-sex marriages would make them more likely to vote Conservative. 37% said that it would make no difference to their political behaviour.

But 57% were clear that they would be less disposed to back the Tories in future, this being especially true of Pentecostals (69%) and Roman Catholics (75%).

This CPanel study does not appear to have covered a related and similarly topical issue, the Government’s plan to permit civil partnerships in England and Wales to be celebrated in religious buildings. General public opinion on this matter was summarized in our previous BRIN post at:

http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=889

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Inside the English Defence League

The English Defence League (EDL), founded in Luton in 2009, is widely considered to be the biggest populist street movement in a generation, with an active ‘membership’ of at least 25,000 to 35,000. Its official statements and literature suggest that its driving ideology is to confront radical Islam, yet this does not appear to be the primary concern of its supporters, according to a report published by the think-tank Demos on 30 October 2011. Written by Jamie Bartlett and Mark Littler, Inside the EDL: Populist Politics in a Digital Age is available to download at:

http://www.demos.co.uk/files/Inside_the_edl_WEB.pdf?1320079341

With the support of the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, Demos carried out an online survey of 1,295 EDL sympathizers and supporters aged 16 and over recruited from the EDL’s Facebook community between 5 and 11 May and 5 and 19 September 2011. Given that the EDL has no formal joining procedures or membership list, this was the only practicable option, but polling via social media sites can be problematic, not least because of the risk of ‘trolls’. These challenges are fully recognized by the authors, who contribute an important chapter (pp. 35-41) on methodology, which is well worth reading in its own right, for generic lessons which can be learned.

Asked to identify the two main issues facing the country, immigration headed the list with 42%, followed by radical Islam (31%), lack of jobs (26%), terrorism (19%), and the financial crisis (14%). On the other hand, 41% of supporters claimed to have joined the EDL because of their opposition to Islam (45% of men and 28% of women), and 31% gave reasons relating to the preservation of national values (which, for some, may also have carried an implication that such values were under threat from Islam). 

Beyond this anti-Islamism element, religion was not a strong focus for EDL supporters. Although 45% professed to be Christians, only 7% cited religion as an important personal value for them, way behind the most highly-rated values of security (36%), strong government (34%), rule of law (30%), individual freedom (26%), and respect for human life (25%). Moreover, 77% said that they tended not to trust religious institutions, a far cry from the 83% who trusted the army.

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Occupy London and St Paul’s Cathedral

The photograph of St Paul’s Cathedral standing proud amid the chaos of the London Blitz was one of the most striking and iconic images of the Second World War, at once tangible evidence of a seeming miracle and a beacon of Britain’s endurance in adversity and of hope for eventual victory against the Axis Powers.

But the Cathedral has certainly been laid low during recent days by divisions among the Dean and Chapter over the Occupy London anti-capitalist campsite surrounding it, and by a flurry of criticism (some from within the Church of England) over the decision to shut the Cathedral completely for a week (on health and safety grounds) – something even the Luftwaffe failed to manage.

Now, thanks to a YouGov poll for today’s issue of The Sunday Times, we have the first real test of public opinion on the subject. A representative sample of 1,676 Britons aged 18 and over was interviewed online on 27 and 28 October 2011, and the results (with breaks by demographics) have been published in full at: 

http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/sunday_times_results_111028_vi_and_trackers_website.pdf

Respondents were somewhat split in their attitudes to the aims of the protesters, with 39% in support, 26% opposed, and 35% undecided. Not unexpectedly, the most significant variation was by current voting intention, 54% of Labourites backing the goals of the protesters, against 18% of Conservatives (with Liberal Democrats on 49%).

However, a simple majority (53%) of the sample was clear that the Cathedral authorities had been wrong to shut the building, rising to 60% among men and 64% of the over-60s. 31% backed the decision of the Chapter to close the Cathedral, including 40% of Conservatives. 16% said that they did not know what to think.

Somewhat fewer (47%) wanted the Cathedral and the Corporation of London to initiate legal proceedings to remove the protesters from outside the Cathedral. Conservatives (73%) were most in favour of this course of action, twice the proportion in the other two main political parties. 39% were against legal steps, with 13% undecided.

The decision of Dr Giles Fraser, the left-leaning Canon Chancellor of the Cathedral, to resign from his position last Thursday in opposition to the threat of legal action against the protesters, was welcomed by 31% of respondents (including 43% of the over-60s). This group perhaps contained some who applauded Fraser’s principled stand but doubtless also those who were glad to see the back of a ‘turbulent priest’. 42% considered that he had been wrong to resign, and 27% expressed no opinion.

The YouGov poll additionally covered the changes to the laws of royal succession agreed at the recent Commonwealth Heads of Government meeting in Australia. Unfortunately, the question posed about Roman Catholics did not reflect the specific amendment agreed, which was limited to those in the line of succession being able to marry a Catholic. No alteration is being mooted to the bar on a reigning monarch being a Catholic himself or herself, which is deemed incompatible with the constitutional role of the monarch as Supreme Governor of the Church of England.

Nevertheless, the question is not without value as a litmus-test of residual anti-Catholicism. Respondents were asked whether they thought the law should be changed to permit a Catholic to succeed to the throne. 48% agreed with the suggestion, 33% disagreed, and 19% had no view.

Agreement was greatest among Liberal Democrat voters (64%), whose official party policy is to separate Church and State, and among Scots (65%). Opponents of the proposition were most numerous among Conservative voters (45%) and the over-60s (42%).

The evolution of public opinion on this topic, and on the establishment of the Church of England more generally, can be traced in an academic journal article published last week: Clive Field, ‘“A Quaint and Dangerous Anachronism”? Who Supports the (Dis)Establishment of the Church of England?’, Implicit Religion, Vol. 14, No. 3, September 2011, pp. 319-41.

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