Who Celebrates Christmas?

The number of shopping days to Christmas is fast reducing. There have already been several market research surveys trying to assess likely spending patterns this season, especially in the light of the national economic situation.

YouGov has just added to these surveys, with a SixthSense online poll of 2,294 UK citizens between 1 and 3 November. It is unusual in terms of the breadth of demographic analysis: by gender, age, marital status, terminal education age, social grade, region, housing tenure, household size, and gross household income. The resultant 56 pages of tables are available at:

http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/Christmas_spending_results.pdf

While the questions majored on Christmas spending intentions, the first asked ‘Do you celebrate Christmas?’ 95% of the sample said that they did and 5% not.

Some non-celebrants were to be found in all demographic sub-groups with a meaningful number of respondents, apart from residents of Northern Ireland (who were 100% observant).

However, non-celebrants were particularly numerous among: those with a gross household income of under £10,000 (17%), people who lived alone (12%), men aged 40-54 (11%), Londoners (11%), and the divorced (9%).

The survey did not enquire into knowledge of, attitudes to and the observance of the religious aspects of Christmas. But there will doubtless be an enquiry or two along these lines before we reach 25 December.

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Eurobarometer Interactive Search System

To enhance access to its public opinion polling data from 1973 to the present, the European Commission has just released an interactive search system, interrogating a database of results for 56 core questions which have been run over the years. The system can be found at:

http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/cf/cf_new/index.cfm

The tool is simple to use, in three sequential steps, involving the choice from drop-down menus of: a) the question and, where applicable, the sub-question; b) the country or countries; and c) the survey year(s) and wave(s). The query is then run, with display options for the topline results as a graph, pie chart, column chart or Excel table. 

The 56 questions do not include any on religion which have been inserted principally as background variables, for example, religious affiliation or attendance at religious services. So far as I can see, the available religion-related information for the UK in the database currently comprises:

Question 37: Attitudes to Turkey (a mainly Muslim country) as a prospective member of the European Union. The question has been asked on 11 occasions in 1996-97, 1999-2001, 2005-06 and 2008.

Question 44: Trust in religious (and other) institutions. The question has been asked on five occasions in 2003-07.

Question 55: Assessment of the state of relations between people from different cultural or religious backgrounds. The question has been asked once, in 2008.

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Biotechnology

The European Commission has recently published Special Eurobarometer 341 on Biotechnology. This is based upon face-to-face interviews by TNS with representative samples of the adult population aged 15 and over in the 27 member states of the European Union plus Croatia and Turkey (candidate countries) and Switzerland, Iceland and Norway (members of the European Free Trade Association). 1,311 interviews were conducted in the UK, between 29 January and 15 February this year.

At the topline level, four matters are of particular relevance to BRIN. Among the set of biotechnology questions, one (p. 165 and table QB19.10) asked whether religious leaders were doing a good job for society in saying what is right or wrong about developments in the biotechnology field.

In the UK 25% thought they were doing a good job (somewhat below the EU average of 31%), 47% a bad job (EU average 46%), with 28% uncertain (EU average 23%). In both the UK and the EU religious leaders scored the lowest ratings of ten groups for benefiting society with regard to biotechnology.

The other three questions were intended to provide religious background for analysing the biotechnology set. 37% of UK citizens claimed to believe in God (p. 204 and table QB32), well below the EU average of 51% and way behind Malta and Turkey (94%) and Romania (92%).

Additionally, 33% in the UK believed in some sort or spirit or life force, while 25% disbelieved in any kind of God, spirit or life force (against 20% in the EU as a whole), and 5% did not know what to think. Disbelievers were up by 5% from the last Eurobarometer survey to cover this issue, in January-February 2005.

Only 11 of the other 31 countries had a lower proportion of believers in God than the UK: Bulgaria (36%), Finland (33%), Slovenia (32%), Iceland (31%), Denmark and The Netherlands (28%), France (27%), Norway (22%), Sweden and Estonia (18%), and the Czech Republic (16%).   

On religious affiliation (table QB33), 6% in the UK said that they were atheists and a further 24% non-believers or agnostics. 14% were Catholics, 44% other Christians, 5% non-Christians, 2% from other religions, and 5% did not know what their religion was.

At 30%, those with no religion (including atheists) in the UK had increased by 5% since the question had last been put in May-June 2009. The EU average was 8% lower, at 22%. Just six countries had more irreligious than the UK (Czech Republic, the former East Germany, France, The Netherlands, Norway and Sweden).

As for attendance at religious services (table QB34), apart from weddings or funerals, 12% of UK adults claimed to go once a week or more, 6% once a month, 5% every two or three months, 7% on special holy days only, 9% once a year, 14% less often, and 46% never.

The UK figures were little changed from when the European Commission last posed the question, in September-October 2006. But the proportion never attending religious services in the UK today is 17% higher than the EU average. Only the Czech Republic, the former East Germany, and France have more non-worshippers.  

The report is available at:

http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/ebs/ebs_341_en.pdf

A four-page fact-sheet on the UK results is at:

http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/ebs/ebs_341_fact_uk_en.pdf

The dataset for the survey is deposited with the Economic and Social Data Service as SN 6518 (Eurobarometer 73.1). This would obviously support analysis of the answers to all the many specialized biotechnology questions by the three religious variables.

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Religion and Morality in the 1950s and 1960s

We reported in the summer on the ongoing scholarly debate about ‘When was secularization?’ (in Britain) – see http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=347. In particular, we noted the arguments of Professor Callum Brown for regarding the 1960s as the major tipping-point on the trajectory to a secular country.

Fresh insights on this debate are offered in a new and extremely fluent book by Nigel Yates, Love Now, Pay Later? Sex and Religion in the Fifties and Sixties (London: SPCK, 2010, x + 198pp, ISBN 978-0-281-05908-9, £16.99, paperback).

It is based upon a wide range of primary and secondary sources, including several archives. Especially skilful use is made of evidence from the theatre, cinema and television, while some discussions are enlivened by the author’s own reminiscences.

The central thesis of the book is that, while there were undoubtedly major changes in both the religious and moral climates between 1950 and 1970, ‘the popular image of the 1950s being the last decade of respectability before the rot set in during the 1960s’ is incorrect.

Rather, the process of transition was more continuous, slower and less dramatic than is often imagined. The so-called religious revival of the early 1950s was ‘very fragile’, while ‘the “swinging sixties” … really only touched a small proportion of the population of Britain, and most of them lived in London.’ The sexual revolution was also driven by the upper and middle classes and did not encompass the working classes and much of the provinces until the 1970s.

Five of the six substantive chapters focus on the dynamics of moral transformation, with Christianity in something of a bystander role. These sections are undoubtedly the volume’s strength. ‘The churches and religious attitudes’ are the subject of the first chapter, which includes a relatively brief and slightly disappointing discussion of patterns of religious affiliation and attendance. 

BRIN readers will naturally be most interested in the work’s quantitative content. This is mainly relegated to a six-page appendix comprising thirteen tables of church statistics, seven of them abstracted from Churches and Churchgoers by Robert Currie et al. (1977), three from Densil Morgan’s The Span of the Cross (1999), and two from Robin Gill’s The Myth of the Empty Church (1993) – all readily available monographs. Unfortunately, virtually no use is made in the text of other religious statistical sources, such as church attendance censuses, opinion polls and social surveys.

As the author anticipates in his preface, this book will unquestionably stimulate further debate on religion and morality in Britain during the fifties and the sixties. The University of Manchester, as BRIN’s parent body, will be contributing to this in a small way through a special theme issue of the Bulletin of the John Rylands University Library on Sixties Britain Reassessed, to be edited by Dr Matthew Grimley, Fellow of Merton College, Oxford. This issue is currently at the planning stage.

Sadly, this will be Nigel Yates’s last book, since he died of cancer on 15 January 2009, at a tragically early age. An archivist by initial profession, he became one of the country’s leading church historians, eventually holding a chair in ecclesiastical history at what is now the University of Wales, Trinity St David.

His prodigious publishing output was noted for its breadth and depth, covering English, Welsh, Scottish, Irish and European church history from the sixteenth to the twentieth centuries. For an appreciation of the man and the scholar, see the obituary by Frances Knight (a former colleague) in the Church Times for 13 February 2009 at:

http://www.churchtimes.co.uk/content.asp?id=70463

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Youtube and Radical Muslim Clerics

Last week Roshonara Choudhry, a 21-year-old British Muslim woman, was convicted at the Old Bailey of the attempted murder, on 14 May, of Stephen Timms, Labour Member of Parliament for East Ham, in retaliation for his endorsement of the Iraq War.

During her trial it emerged that she had become radicalized by watching the teachings of extremist Islamic preachers on Youtube, including the Yemen-based Anwar al-Awlaki, dubbed the ­‘spiritual leader’ of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula.

The case prompted YouGov to include a question in its latest online poll for the Sunday Times, conducted on 4 and 5 November among a representative sample of 1,954 adult Britons aged 18 and over.

Noting that Youtube had voluntarily withdrawn al-Awlaki’s speeches from its site, YouGov asked its panelists whether Youtube should also be made to remove all speeches and videos from other Islamic clerics suspected of radicalizing British Muslims.

Three-quarters of respondents felt that Youtube should do this, with 14% saying it should not and 12% having no clear opinion. Conservative voters (82%) were more inclined to favour removal of the speeches than supporters of the other two main parties, and women somewhat more than men.

However, as with most British polls touching on Islam and Muslims, the most significant demographic trend was by age. Whereas 57% of 18-24s backed the removal of the offending speeches, the proportion climbed steadily through the other age cohorts, to reach 87% among the over-60s. Conversely, opponents of the ban decreased from 23% to 7% across the age spectrum.

Full data tabulations for this survey, which also included a battery of other questions relating to security and terrorism matters, will be found at:

http://today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/YG-Archives-Pol-ST-results-051110_0.pdf

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Equality and Human Rights Commission – New Research

We recently highlighted the publication of the Equality and Human Rights Commission (EHRC)’s first triennial review, and of its relevance for British religious statistics. See http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=656

We can now report that the EHRC has commissioned two new research papers, which, when published, are also likely to be of interest to BRIN readers. The following details are extracted, with light edits, from the EHRC’s Religion or Belief Network Bulletin, No. 3, November 2010, which is distributed electronically (to subscribe, contact Research@equalityhumanrights.com).

Professor Linda Woodhead (Lancaster University and Director of the AHRC/ESRC Religion and Society Programme) will undertake research into Religion and Society: Exploring the Equality Dimension. This has two main aspects. First, she will discuss projects within the Religion and Society Programme which are of particular relevance to the EHRC’s work on religion or belief issues, or are of particular interest to the EHRC because they cover other equality strands, or its other mandates of good relations and human rights. Secondly, Linda will use a survey of EHRC Religion or Belief Network members to elicit information about members’ recent or ongoing research relevant to the topic of religion, equality and discrimination.

Professor Paul Weller (University of Derby) is preparing a report on Religious Discrimination in Britain: A Review of Research Evidence, 2000-2010. This has three main aspects. First, he will discuss quantitative and qualitative evidence that religious groups (including Christians) feel they are discriminated against. Second, he will examine any evidence that may suggest that the nature and extent of religious discrimination differs between England, Scotland and Wales (and between Great Britain and other parts of Europe). Third, he will assess whether there is any existing evidence that religious discrimination is increasing or decreasing. Paul would welcome any relevant information at: p.g.weller@derby.ac.uk

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Future of the Citizenship Survey

There have been several posts on the BRIN website this year highlighting key religion-related findings from various reports on the Department for Communities and Local Government’s Citizenship Survey of England and Wales. The Survey commenced in 2001 and currently runs on an annual (and continuous) basis.

Inter alia, the Citizenship Survey covers the incidence of religious prejudice and discrimination, and the role of religion in community cohesion. The Survey employs a large core sample of 10,000 adults each year, with ethnic minority and Muslim boosts of 5,000 and 1,200 respectively.

Now the Department has issued a 13-page consultation paper stating that ‘unless there is feedback from users indicating an overriding need to continue with the Citizenship Survey’, the Department proposes to discontinue it after 2010-11. The decision has been driven by the need ‘to find savings as a result of the fiscal deficit’.

The aims of the consultation are threefold:

  • To identify how Citizenship Survey data are currently used
  • To understand the implications of cancelling the Citizenship Survey
  • To identify options for alternative information sources, in the event of the Department proceeding with the cancellation of the Citizenship Survey, including the collection of data of less stringent quality

The consultation document can be found at:

http://www.communities.gov.uk/publications/communities/futurecitizenshipsurvey  

Any comments should be sent, preferably by email, and to arrive no later than 5 pm on Tuesday 30 November, to:

Citizenship.Survey@communities.gsi.gov.uk

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Religion of Prisoners

Government has regularly reported on the religious affiliation of prisoners in England and Wales, and time series for recent decades, until 2008, are already available on the BRIN website at:

http://www.brin.ac.uk/figures/#Prisoners

Data for 2009 were released during the summer in tables 7.25-7.30 of the Ministry of Justice’s Offender Management Caseload Statistics, 2009. This document can be viewed at:

http://www.justice.gov.uk/publications/prisonandprobation.htm

According to table 7.25 (a high-level summary for each year from 1999 to 2009), the proportion of prisoners professing no religion in 2009 was 34.6%, up from 30.2% ten years previously. During this decade the overall prison population grew by 30%.

Christians accounted for 48.7% of prisoners, a big reduction from 60.9% in 1999. Unlike other Government sources, Christians were sub-divided here, with most being either Anglicans (25.9%) or Roman Catholics (17.1%). The over-representation of Catholics among prisoners has long been a source of angst to the Roman Catholic Church.

Non-Christian prisoners have almost doubled since 1999, from 8.9% to 16.6%. By far the biggest group in 2009 comprised Muslims (11.9%), about two and a half times more than their presence in society as a whole, as recorded in the Integrated Household Survey. See also our post on Muslims in prison at: http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/?p=336

Many of the differences between the religious profile of the general and prison populations are explicable by demographics. These can be explored further in some of the other tables. There are disaggregations of religion in 2009 by gender and ethnicity in table 7.26; gender and age in 7.27; gender and custody type in 7.28; and gender and length of custodial sentence in 7.29. Social class background is not analysed.

Table 7.30 sub-divides the broad religious groupings used in table 7.25, for each year between 2002 and 2009. So, if you are interested in calculating law-breaking rates among Quakers, Mormons, Pagans, Rastafarians or whoever, here is your statistical goldmine.

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Violent Extremism

One of the four strands in the previous Labour government’s CONTEST counter-terrorism strategy was focused on preventing extremism. It was especially concerned to stop the radicalization of young Muslims, following the London bombings in 2005.

In an effort to improve the evidence base, the Department for Communities and Local Government decided to include an experimental module on attitudes to violent extremism in the first three quarters (April-December 2009) of the 2009-10 Citizenship Survey of England and Wales.

Fieldwork was undertaken by Ipsos MORI and TNS-BMRB among a representative sample of adults aged 16 and over, including booster samples of ethnic minorities and Muslims. 12,089 people were interviewed in all, among them a core sample of 6,963 and 2,708 Muslims.

The headline results from the module have been published recently in a statistical release from the Department (ISBN 978-1-4098-2529-6), which can be read online at:

http://www.communities.gov.uk/documents/statistics/pdf/1702054.pdf

Professing Christians (87%) were more likely than Sikhs (82%), Muslims (80%), people with no religion (79%) and Hindus (76%) to say that it was always wrong to use violent extremism in Britain to protest against things deemed to be very unfair or unjust.

The proportion thinking it was sometimes, often or always right to deploy violence stood at 8% overall, peaking at 15% for Hindus, 12% for Muslims and 10% for the irreligious. Jewish and Buddhist sub-samples were too small to report.

However, in a multivariate analysis, taking account of age, income, social class and other circumstances, only people with no religion were found to be significantly different from Christians.

So, while Muslims and Hindus (as a group) were less likely than Christians to reject violent extremism, the differences are largely explicable in terms of their younger age and/or divergent socio-economic profiles. Age is particularly relevant.

This explanation does not hold good for the no religion group. Even controlling for age and socio-economic factors, its members remained less likely than Christians to reject violent extremism.

The report is at pains to point out that ‘this does not mean that the absence of religious beliefs contributes to greater support for violent extremism. There may be other factors, which were not included in the multivariate analysis, which explain the difference …’

In addition to this general question, respondents were asked about the use of violent extremism, in the name of religion, to protest or achieve a goal. In the core sample (excluding 2% who failed to answer), 95% said that this was always wrong, 4% often wrong, 1% sometimes right and sometimes wrong, with very small numbers indeed opting for often or always right. These results are not broken down by religious affiliation.

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More Church of England Statistics

The Church of England issued two statistics-related press releases on 28 October.

The first concerned parochial finance for 2008 and licensed ministers for 2009, complementing the parochial affiliation and attendance data which were made available in February. 

The financial statistics contained some good news. Despite the recession, which has hit the wider charity sector hard, both tax-efficient planned giving and legacy giving in the Church of England continued to increase, reaching record levels. Overall parochial income was £925 million and expenditure £874 million.

As for ministry, 491 candidates were accepted to train in 2009, making a total of 1,338 in training (five-sixths over 30 years of age). 564 new clergy were ordained, 309 entering full-time paid ministry. Taking retirements and other losses into account, there was a net decrease of 128 full-time paid clergy. At the end of 2009, there were some 28,000 licensed and authorized ministers, ordained and lay, active in the Church of England.

The press release can be read at:

http://www.cofe.anglican.org/news/pr9710.html

The data appear as part of the online edition of Church Statistics, 2008/9 (with previous years back to 2001) at:

http://www.cofe.anglican.org/info/statistics/churchstats2008/statisticsfront2008.html

The second press release reported the office and working costs of the Church’s 113 bishops (44 diocesan and 69 suffragan and full-time assistant bishops) for the year-ending 31 December 2009. The total bill came to £14,952,000.

The release is at:

http://www.cofe.anglican.org/news/pr9510.html

The data, with those for each year since 2000 (when the costs of individual bishops were published for the first time), will be found at:

http://www.cofe.anglican.org/info/bishopsofficeandworkingcosts.html

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